Bayes Theorem · A Visual Introduction for Beginners by Morris, Dan -- Read -- Imperial Library of Trantor

Index

Bayes Everyday A Visual Guide Bayes' Theorem Explained: 4 Ways Visual Aids Booklet Structure

Don’t Waste Your Time

A Visual Intro: Part 1

Introduction The Bayes' Theorem Formula: A Basic Overview

A Visual Intro: Part 2

Introduction

Example Section 1: Solving For One Possible Outcome With All Data Provided

Introduction

Scenario 1: The Flu

Pulling The Scenario Apart Scenario 1.1 Visualize The Problem Scenario 1.2 Plugging Into Bayes' Formula And Solving

Scenario 2: Breathalyzer

Pulling The Scenario Apart Scenario 2.1 Visualize the Problem Scenario 2.2 Plugging Into Bayes' Formula And Solving

Scenario 3: Peacekeeping - A Surprise Attack.

Pulling The Scenario Apart Scenario 3.1 Visualize The Problem Scenario 3.2 Plugging Into Bayes' Formula And Solving

How To Understand Scenarios

Introduction Discovering What You Are Looking For: P(A|B) Defining P(B), P(A) P(B|A)

Example Section 2: Solving for One Possible Outcome With No P(B) Provided

Introduction

Scenario 1: The Flu

Scenario 1.1 Solve Using A Decision Tree Scenario 1.2 Solve Using Bayes' Formula

Scenario 2: Breathalyzer

Scenario 2.1 Solve Using A Decision Tree Scenario 2.2 Solve Using Bayes' Formula

Scenario 3: Peacekeeping

Scenario 3.1 Solve Using a Decision Tree Scenario 3.2 Solve Using Bayes' Formula

Example Section 3: Solving For Two Possible Outcomes With All Probability Data Provided

Introduction The Flu Or Food Poisoning Part 1: The Flu Scenario 1.1 Visualize The Problem Scenario 1.2 Plugging Into Bayes' Formula And Solving Part 2: Food Poisoning Scenario 2.1 Visualize The Problem Scenario 2.2 Solve Traditionally With Bayes' Formula

History and Stories

A Brief History Of Bayes' Theorem Real Life Uses: Search and Rescue Real Life Uses: Spam Filtering Real Life Uses: Driverless Cars

Three Steps To Thinking Like A Bayesian Everyday.

Let’s Get Real

Scenario 1: Dating.

Non-Visual Approach Visual Approach

Scenario 2: Can You Trust Your Mechanic?

Non-Visual Approach Visual Approach

Reference: Definitions, Notations, and Proof

Part 1: Definitions Part 2: Notation Part 3: Proof

Recommended In-Depth Reading Bibliography