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Index
Title Page
Copyright Page
Preface
Acknowledgments
Table of Contents
List of Tables
List of Figures
PART ONE A Theoretical Introduction
1. Multi-Secular Cycles in Historical and Modern Societies
2. Modeling Structural-Demographic Processes
PART TWO Overview of Structural Demographic Variables: 1780–2010
3. Demography and Wellbeing
4. Elite Dynamics
5. The State
6. Dynamics of Sociopolitical Instability
PART THREE A Complete Secular Cycle: from the Revolution to the Great Depression, c.1780–1930
7. Long-Term Trends, 1780–1930: a Synthesis
8. The Antebellum Era
9. The Road to Civil War: A Dynamical Model of Antebellum America
10. From the Gilded Age to the New Deal
PART FOUR The Current Secular Cycle: from the Great Depression to the Present, c.1930–2010
11. Long-Term Trends, 1930–2010: a Synthesis
12. From the New Deal to the Reagan Revolution: A Dynamical Model
13. Social Pressures towards Instability: From the Reagan Revolution to the Troubles of Our Times
14. Conclusion: Two Ages of Discord
References Cited
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