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Index
Series
Title Page
Copyright
Preface
Introduction
PORTFOLIO RISKS
RISK MANAGEMENT TRIAD
RISK MANAGEMENT IN PRACTICE
INTENDED AUDIENCE
BOOK OUTLINE
About the Authors
Chapter 1: The Economic Environment
1.1. INTRODUCTION
1.2. INFLATION AND UNEMPLOYMENT
1.3. CENTRAL BANKS AND THE MONEY SUPPLY
1.4. THE BUSINESS CYCLE
1.5. PREDICTING THE FUTURE?
1.6. ECONOMIC INDICATORS
Chapter 2: Risk: An Introduction
2.1. WHAT IS RISK?
2.2. RISKS OF FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS
2.3. OPERATIONAL RISK
2.4. WHAT RISKS ARE IN YOUR PORTFOLIO? HIDDEN HAZARDS
2.5. HEDGING MARKET RISKS
Chapter 3: Asset Modeling
3.1. ASSET VALUE
3.2. FINANCIAL MODELS
3.3. VALUATION PRINCIPLES
3.4. DISCOUNT RATES SELECTION
3.5. CASH FLOW PROJECTION AND ASSET VALUATION
3.6. STOCHASTIC ASSET VALUATION
3.7. THE MONTE CARLO METHOD
3.8. STOCHASTIC EXTRAPOLATION
Chapter 4: Market Exposures and Factor Sensitivities
4.1. FROM VALUATION TO RESPONSES AND SENSITIVITIES
4.2. RESPONSE MATRIX AND SCENARIO GRID
4.3. STRESS-TESTING
4.4. SENSITIVITIES
4.5. INTEREST RATE SENSITIVITIES: DURATION, PV01, CONVEXITY, KEY RATE MEASURES
4.6. NUMERICAL EVALUATION OF SENSITIVITIES
4.7. PERFORMANCE ATTRIBUTION AND COMPLETENESS TEST
Chapter 5: Quantifying Portfolio Risks
5.1. THE NATURE OF RISK
5.2. STANDARD RISK MEASURES
5.3. OPTIMAL HEDGE SIZING
5.4. TAIL-RISK MEASURES
Chapter 6: The Decision to Hedge
6.1. TO HEDGE OR NOT TO HEDGE?
6.2. THE HEDGING PROCESS
Chapter 7: Constructing a Hedge
7.1. AN IDEAL HEDGE
7.2. A SAMPLE HEDGE
7.3. STATIC AND DYNAMIC HEDGING
7.4. PROXY HEDGING
7.5. PROTECTION VERSUS UPSIDE
7.6. BASIS RISK
7.7. UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES
7.8. HEDGING CREDIT RISK
7.9. HEDGING PREPAYMENT, REDEMPTION, AND OTHER HUMAN BEHAVIOR RISKS
7.10 EXECUTION
Appendix A: Basics of Probability Theory
PROBABILITY AND RANDOM PHENOMENA
PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION FUNCTION
EXPECTED VALUES
MOMENTS OF PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTION
MEASURES OF CENTRAL TENDENCY
SOME COMMONLY USED DISTRIBUTIONS
MULTIVARIATE DISTRIBUTIONS
CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM
Appendix B: Elements of Statistics and Time Series Analysis
References
Glossary
Index
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