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Index
Coverpage
Half title
Series page
Title page
Imprints page
Dedication
Contents
Acknowledgments
1 Introduction
Part I Nature and History of the Problem
2 Is There a Literature on Experts?
Introduction
A Simple Taxonomy
Berger and Luckmann
Defining “Expert”
3 Two Historical Episodes in the Problem of Experts
Introduction
The Socratic Tradition
Expert Witnesses in Law
4 Recurrent Themes in the Theory of Experts
Power
Ethics
Reflexivity
The Well-Informed Citizen
Democratic Control of Experts
Discussion
Market Structure
Information Choice in the Context of the Literature on Experts
Definitions
Power
Ethics
Reflexivity
The Well-Informed Citizen
Democratic Control of Experts
Discussion
Market Structure
Closing Remark
Part II Foundations of the Theory of Experts
5 Notes on Some Economic Terms and Ideas
Spontaneous Order
Competition
6 The Division of Knowledge through Mandeville
Introduction
The Division of Knowledge
7 The Division of Knowledge after Mandeville
Vico to Marx
Menger to Hayek
After Hayek
Part III Information Choice Theory
8 The Supply and Demand for Expert Opinion
The Economic Point of View on Experts
Identifying the Commodity and Defining “Expert”
Information Choice Theory
Honest Error and Willful Fraud
The Economics of Experts Fills a Niche
The Demand for Expert Opinion
The Supply of Expert Opinion
9 Experts and Their Ecology
Motivational Assumptions of Information Choice Theory
Experts Seek to Maximize Utility
Cognition is Limited and Erring
Incentives Influence the Distribution of Expert Errors
The Ecology of Expertise
Part IV Expert Failure
10 Expert Failure and Market Structure
Two Dimensions of Expert Failure
The Rule of Experts
Expert-Dependent Choice
The Quasi-Rule of Experts
Self-Rule or Autonomy
Identity, Sympathy, Approbation, and Praiseworthiness
Observer Effects, Bias, and Blinding
11 Further Sources of Expert Failure
Normal Accidents of Expertise
Complexity and Feedback
Incentive Alignment
The Ecology of Expertise
Professions
Regulation
Monopsony and Big Players
Comments on the Market for Ideas
Epistemic Systems Design
12 Expert Failure in the Entangled Deep State
Expert Failure and America’s Entangled Deep State
Closing Remarks
References
Index
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