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Index
About This eBook
Title Page
Copyright Page
Praise for The Science of Successful Organizational Change
Dedication Page
Contents
Acknowledgments
About the Author
Introduction
How to Set 3 Million Dollars on Fire
Reports in Drawers and Personal Change
From the Laboratory to the Sweat Lodge
Defenders of the Faith—How to Prove Something Works
Spoiler Alert—The Whole Book in One Diagram
The War Between Validity and Usefulness
The Path Ahead: Change-Agility, Strategy, and Tactics
Change-Agility
Change Strategy
Change Tactics
How to Read This Book and Make It Useful
1. Failed Change: The Greatest Preventable Cost to Business?
The Change Problem—How Bad Is It?
Evidence on Change Failure Rates
Does All Change Fail the Same?
Does Failure Always Mean the Same Thing?
Change Masters and Change-Agility
Failed Metaphors—The Fantasy of the Static Organization
The Change Problem as a People Problem
Change Myths
Everybody Is an Expert on People Issues—Or Are They?
Putting the Change Manager Out of Work
From Change Management to Change Leadership
Change Leadership and the Human Sciences
Conclusion
Part I: Change-Agility
The VUCA World and Change Strategy
2. From Change Fragility to Change-Agility
The Systemic Change Model
Agile People
Growth Mindsets
Learning Agility
Agile Culture
Culture Change Maxim—The Fish Rots from the Head
Agility and Innovation
Agile Structures—Beyond Hierarchy
Project-Based Business
Self-Managed Work Teams—Industrial Democracy
Holacracy
Agile Processes—Ideas, Execution, Learning
Agile Idea Management
Agile Execution
Agile Learning Processes
Conclusion
Part II: Change Strategy
Change Strategy
Strategic Coherence
How Change Strategy and Change Tactics Interact
Consequences of the Strategy-Tactics Split
Favor Continuous, Rather Than Discrete, Involvement
Change Strategy—The Road Ahead
3. Governance and the Psychology of Risk
Psychology of Risk—Knowing the Mind of God?
Six Systematic Flaws in How Humans Think about Risk
Planning Fallacy and Consulting Fictions
Psychology of the Planning Fallacy
Consulting Fictions
Estimating Better
The Deterministic Fallacy—Point Estimates
Understanding Project Variance Using SOCKS
Uncertainty—What to Do When Risks Are Unmeasurable
Normal Distributions Do Not Help with Abnormal Events
Managing Uncertainty—Pre-Mortems
Risk Governance Is a People Problem, Not a Math Problem
Managing Aggregate Change Risks
Conclusion
4. Decision Making in Complex and Ambiguous Environments
Complexity
Inadequate Ways of Dealing with Complexity
Two Tools for Solving Complex Problems
How to Understand Cause and Effect in Complicated and Complex Systems
Ambiguity and the Human Side of Analytics
Twenty-First-Century Analytics—Big Data and Beyond
The Human-Machine Interface—Where Data Becomes Wisdom
The Human Side of Analytics
Big Data and “Pilot Error”
Conclusion
5. Cognitive Biases and Failed Strategies
Cognitive Biases in Business
Perception Biases
Confidence without Competence
Hubris: The Dark Side of the Bright Side (Optimism)
Hubris and the Deepwater Horizon Trillion-Dollar Errors
Green Light, STOP! The Halo Effect
The Ostrich Effect
Problem-Solving Biases
The Availability and Confirmation Biases
Getting Cause and Effect Wrong—The Narrative Fallacy
Reports in Drawers and How “Passions” Drive Change
Facts Do Not Drive Change; “Passions” and Values Do
Solution-Selection Biases
Trusting Guts, Trusting Models
Weighing “Bias-for-Action” and the Quick Fix
Reorganizations
Copying the Herd, or Leading Like a Lemming
Escalation of Commitment and the Sunk Cost Fallacy
Confronting Escalation
The Wisdom (or Madness) of Crowds
Conclusion and Implications for Change Experts
Part III: Change Tactics
The Road Ahead
6. Misunderstanding Human Behavior
How to Not Get Invited Back to Dinner Parties
Folk Psychology
Limitations of Folk Psychology
From Folk Psychology to Folk Management
Gurus and Pop Psychology
From Pop Psychology to Pop Leadership
Psychology: Science in Its Infancy
Nineteenth-Century Psychology and Its Legacy
Psychology Turns to Science in the Twentieth Century
Psychological Myths
Neuroscience
Why I Am a Neuroskeptic
The Century Where Brain, Mind, and Behavior Come Together?
Conclusion
7. The Science of Changing Behaviors
From the “Science of Mind” to the “Science of Behavior”
Bad Behaviorism—Not So Good in Theory
Bad Behaviorism—Both Ineffective and Coercive
How Rewards Can Be Harmful and Punitive
The Cognitive Backlash Throws the Behavioral Baby Out with the Behaviorist Bathwater
The Limitations of Strictly Cognitive Approaches
Neobehaviorism
Behavioral Specificity—Checklists
Safety Behaviors HSE—Environmental Behaviorism
From Change Agent to Choice Architect
Nudging in Society and Business
The Mastery of Habit
Creating Good Habits
Breaking Bad
Changing Behaviors through Training and Development
If Business Is Practical, Why Is Business Education Mostly Theoretical?
Getting Hard Results from Soft-Skills Education
Getting More Behavioral Change and Greater Accountability from Soft-Skills Programs
Conclusion
8. The Science of Changing Hearts and Minds
The Craft of Changing Minds
Resistance to Change
Spotting Resistance to Change
Managing Resistance
From Change Management 101 to “Wicked Messes”
The Core of Change Management 101—Participation and Involvement
Wicked (Social) Messes
Influencing with Facts
When Facts Fail
The Backfire Effect
Using Facts Effectively
Linking Influencing to Changing Behaviors
The Mindful Leader
Defining Mindfulness
Anecdotal Benefits of Mindfulness Practices
Science of Mindfulness Practices
Where Can I Buy Some?
Conclusion
9. Leading with Science
Toward a Science-Based Craft
Business versus Science: Two Examples
What Is Science?
The Demarcation between Science and Prescience
How Is Business Like Aristotelian and Copernican Science?
Antiscience and Pseudoscience
The Financial Costs of Pseudoscience and Antiscience
Saving Money by Stamping out Antiscience
From Antiscience to a Scientific Mindset
From Prescience to Evidence-Based Management (EBM)
Types of Evidence
Implementing Evidence-Based Management
Not 1920’s Scientific Management, or 19th Century Positivism
Leadership, Reason, and Science
Leadership and Farsight
Conclusion—Science-based Leadership and Human Flourishing
Bibliography
Index
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