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Imperial Library
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Index
Cover
Front Matter
Foreword
Acknowledgements
Introduction: We’ll Definitely Need to Tackle the Subject One of These Days . . .
Collapse?
The birth of ‘collapsology’
Beware, this is a sensitive subject!
Notes
Part I The Harbingers of Collapse
1 The Accelerating Vehicle
A world of exponentials
Total acceleration
Where do the limits lie?
Notes
2 When the Engine Dies (Limits that Cannot be Crossed)
At the top of the peak, does energy starts to fall?
At the top of the peak, there is a wall!
And before the wall … a precipice
Notes
3 Leaving the Road (Boundaries that Can be Crossed)
Global heating and cold sweats
Who will kill the last animal on the planet?
The other boundaries of the planet
What happens when we cross different Rubicons?
Notes
4 Is the Steering Locked?
How a system becomes locked in
The problem of complexity
Notes
5 Trapped in an Ever More Fragile Vehicle
Finance: feet of clay
Supply chains on the razor’s edge
Infrastructures at their last gasp
What will be the spark?
Notes
Summary of Part I
An all-too-clear picture
Notes
Part II So, When’s It Going to Happen:?
6 The Difficulties of Being a Futurologist
From risk assessment to intuition
The paradoxes of collapse
Notes
7 Can We Detect Warning Signs?
The ‘noise’ of a system about to collapse
There will always be uncertainty
Notes
8 What Do the Mathematical Models Say?
An original model: HANDY
A robust model: World3
Notes
Part III Collapsology
9 A Mosaic to Explore
What are we talking about exactly?
What do past civilizations tell us … ?
How far are we sinking . . . ?
… up to our necks?
Notes
10 And Where Do Human Beings Fit into All This?
How many of us will there be at the end of the century? The demography of collapse
Will we kill each other off? The sociology of collapse
Why do most people not believe it will happen? The psychology of collapse
Now that we believe in it, what shall we do? The politics of collapse
Notes
Conclusion: Hunger is Only the Beginning
Towards a general and applied collapsology
The ‘hangover’ generation
Other ways of partying
Notes
‘For the Children’
Notes
Postscript
Notes
End User License Agreement
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