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Index
Half title
Title page
Imprints page
Epigraph
Contents
Figures
Tables
Foreword
Acknowledgements
A Note About Data
1 Brexit Introduced
2 Campaign Prologue
The Public Mood
The Rival Armies
EU Membership Renegotiated
Sceptical Reactions
Conclusion: Stage Set
3 Into Battle
All to Play For
‘Stronger In’ versus ‘Take Back Control’
Public Perceptions
Project Fear Doubles Down
The Final Month
And the Verdict Is …?
Conclusion: Rival Messages Reconsidered
4 Attitudes to Brexit Over Time
What Drives People’s Feelings About the EU?
A Valence Politics Theory of Attitudes towards EU Membership
A Dynamic Model of Attitudes towards EU Membership
Explaining Individual-Level Attitudes towards EU Membership
Conclusion: Valence Politics and EU Membership
5 The People’s Army
The Rise of UKIP: 1993–2016
UKIP Members: Who Are They?
Why Join the ‘People’s Army’?
What Do They Think?
Why Do They Become Active?
Conclusion: A People’s Army
6 The Rise of UKIP
Why Support the Radical Right?
The Aggregate Dynamics of UKIP Support
Who Supported UKIP? An Individual-Level Analysis
Bringing It Together: The 2014 and 2015 Elections
UKIP’s Coalition: Conservatives and Others
Conclusion: UKIP on the Move
7 Voting to Leave
How to Explain Voting in the EU Referendum
The Ballots Counted
Referendum Voting: Why They Did It
The ‘Boris Effect’
Conclusion: The Brexit Choice
8 The Consequences of Brexit
The Economic Consequences of Brexit
The Effects of EU Membership on the British Economy
Brexit and Immigration
The European Union, Democracy and Governance
Has Governance in Britain and the EU Improved Over Time?
Conclusion: What Price Brexit?
9 Beyond Brexit
Explaining Brexit: Our Argument
Could Things Have Been Different?
Will Brexit Be a ‘One-Off’?
Are Immigration Attitudes Different in Britain?
Notes
1 Brexit Introduced
2 Campaign Prologue
3 Into Battle
4 Attitudes to Brexit Over Time
5 The People’s Army
6 The Rise of UKIP
7 Voting to Leave
8 The Consequences of Brexit
9 Beyond Brexit
References
Index
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