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Index
Economic Indicators For Dummies®
Contents at a Glance
Table of Contents
Introduction
About This Book
Conventions Used in This Book
Foolish Assumptions
What Not to Read
How the Book Is Organized
Icons Used in This Book
Where to Go from Here
Part I: Figuring Out the Economy
Chapter 1: Introducing Economic Indicators
Understanding What Economic Indicators Are
Identifying What Indicators Indicate
Knowing How to Start Following Economic Indicators
Chapter 2: Explaining Economic Jargon
Identifying Types of Economic Indicators
Understanding How Economists Analyze the Data
Massaging Economic Data to Make the Results More Useful
Considering the Timeliness of Economic Indicators
Looking into the Future with Consensus Forecasts
Amending and Modifying Data with Revision Reports
Cha-Ching: Money, Interest Rates, and the Economy
Chapter 3: Understanding the Big Picture: TheEconomy and Its Footprints
Taking a Closer Look at the Business Cycle
Reviewing the Key Financial Markets
Figuring Out What’s What in Economic Reports
Showing Economic Fashions without the Runway
Part II: Making Money, Spending Money: Employment and Consumer Indicators
Chapter 4: Counting Jobs and Unemployment
Tracking the BLS Employment Situation Report
Looking at Unemployment Insurance Claims
Eyeing the ADP National Employment Report®
Advertising for Jobs: The Conference Board Help Wanted Online Index
Collecting the BLS Mass Layoff Statistics Report
Surfing Monster Employment Indexes
Chapter 5: Survey Says: Considering Consumer Sentiment, Confidence, and Comfort
Trying to Figure Out Consumers
Surveying UM’s Consumer Sentiment Index
Understanding the Consumer Confidence Index
Reviewing the Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
Chapter 6: Spreading the Wealth: Consumer Spending and the Economy
Making and Spending: The BEA’s Personal Income and Outlays Report
Surveying Retail Sales: The Census Bureau’s Retail Trade Report
How Much Consumers Borrow: The Consumer Credit Outstanding Report
Tracking Online Sales: The Quarterly Retail E-Commerce Sales Report
Part III: The Essence of Business: Product and Service Indicators
Chapter 7: GDP: The Whole Enchilada
Grasping What the GDP Report Is
Highlighting the GDP’s Importance
Knowing How the GDP Is Calculated
Seeing How GDP Is Adjusted for Inflation
Chapter 8: Following the Fed
Understanding the Fed’s Role
Reading the Fed’s FOMC Statement
Boring into the Beige Book
Monitoring Manufacturing with the Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization Report
Reviewing Regional Fed Reports
Chapter 9: Profiling Manufacturing: New Orders and Shipments
Filling Orders for Durable Goods: The Advance Report on Durable Goods
Monitoring Factory Orders and Sales: The Factory Orders Report
Counting Business Inventories: The Manufacturing and Trade Inventories and Sales Report
Chapter 10: Grappling with Economic Indexes
Measuring ISM’s Manufacturing Survey
Gauging Non-Manufacturing Companies
Looking At the Leading Economic Index
Chapter 11: Spending on Housing and Residential Construction
Growing the Economy One House at a Time
Counting One Start at a Time: The New Residential Construction Report
Reporting New-Home Sales: The New Residential Sales Report
Reporting Existing-Home Sales
Monitoring Pending Home Sales
Surveying Mortgages
Pricing the S&P/Case-Shiller Indices
Part IV: Inflation, Productivity, Interest Rates, and Commodities: Oh My!
Chapter 12: Determining Inflation’s Economic Impact
Gauging Inflation from the Consumer’s View: The Consumer Price Index
Using Manufacturing Costs to Measure Inflation: The Producer Price Index
Tracking Inflation through Labor Costs: The Employment Cost Index
Chapter 13: Taking a Closer Look at Productivity and Economic Growth
Measuring Productivity and Costs: The Labor Productivity and Costs Report
Watching Employee Compensation Costs: The ECEC Report
Calculating What Workers Really Make: The Real Earnings Report
Chapter 14: Eyeing Business and Municipal Borrowing in the Bond Market
Simplifying the Fixed-Income Market
Showing Some Interest in Interest
Finding Current Interest Rates: The Selected Interest Rates Report
Taming the TIPS (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities) Spread
Following the Treasury Yield Curve
Seeing the Bond Market’s Impact on the Rest of the Market
Chapter 15: Harvesting Commodity Data
Understanding Commodities: Focusing on Supply and Demand
Delving into Commodities Reports
Pricing Commodities
Tracking Commodity Indexes
Part V: International Intrigue: Indicators beyond the United States
Chapter 16: Trading with the United States
Tracking Trade: U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Report
Figuring Out the Balance of Trade
Following the TIC (Treasury International Capital) System
Chapter 17: Following Economies Worldwide
Investing in Overseas Markets
Using Reliable Sources to Find Info on International Indicators
Tracking the German Economy
Tracking the Japanese Economy
Tracking China’s Economy
Chapter 18: Monitoring Emerging Economies
Following Emerging Markets
Monitoring India’s Economy
Following Brazil’s Economic Future
Part VI: The Part of Tens
Chapter 19: Ten Ways to Track the U.S. Economy
Monitoring Jobs and Employment Data
Accounting for Consumer Spending
Checking Up on Businesses
Showing an Interest in Interest Rates
Building on Housing and Construction
Following Inflation
Surveying Consumers
Following the GDP
Chapter 20: Ten (Or So) Money-Making Tips You Can Use with Economic Indicators
Finding the Big Picture: Distinguishing between Bull and Bear Markets
Tracking Sector Rotation
Following the Herd
Taking Three Steps, Then a Stumble
Balancing Your Portfolio
Investing Strategically
Taking Your Investments Abroad
Avoiding Big Investment Mistakes
Avoiding Analysis Paralysis
Glossary
Index
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