INDEX
Page numbers refer to the print edition but are hyperlinked to the appropriate location in the e-book.
Abdul Qadeer (A. Q.) Khan nuclear black market, 25, 32–33, 133, 134, 164
Abrams, Elliott, 22, 219n6
accidents, nuclear: Fukushima, Japan, 143; launching, 56–57; nuclear weapons, 54–57
Afghanistan, 19, 24, 27, 40, 134, 138; cost of war in, 220n14, 230n15; Pressler amendment and Russians in, 240n38
Africa, 70
Agreed Framework of 1994, 28–29
agreements, for peace, 187
agriculture, productivity, 70, 132
Alam, Mohammed Badrul, 142–43
Albright, David, 125, 160, 164–65
Albright, Madeleine, 38, 120, 221n25
Algeria, 30
Allen, Michael, 21
Alliance for Nuclear Accountability, 184
Altman, Roger, 79
Ambinder, Marc, 122
American Enterprise Institute, 20
American Security Project, 141, 179, 215
American Values Network, 179
Anastasio, Michael, 43–44
Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, 24, 104
antimissile programs: failed promises of, 33, 223n44; “Star Wars,” 52
antimissile weapons systems: funding increases for U.S., 24, 33, 78, 223n44; Russia’s view on, 13; U.S., Czech Republic and Poland and, 13
Arbotov, Alexei, 110
Argentina, 30, 154, 248n32, 248n33
Armitage, Richard, 185
arms control: Bush doctrine on, 20–21, 104–5; as new realism, 41, 106; Russia and, 40; U.S. and, 40–41
Arms Control Association, 46, 91, 167, 179
ArmsControlWonk.org, 54
arsenals, nuclear: under attack, 121–22; China, 59, 60; connections between existing and future, 147–55; France, 58–59, 60; global, 1, 58–59, 60, 61; India, 59, 60, 132–33; Israel, 59, 60; limiting and reducing, 182; North Korea, 59, 246n6; Pakistan, 59, 60, 121, 122–27, 132; reasonable budgets and smaller, 88–90; Russia, 99–100, 110, 226n3; savings with reduction of, 90–91; security of, 124–27; UK, 59, 60; U.S., 46, 76–77, 83–96, 99–100, 226n3
Asia. See South Asia; specific countries
Atlantic Council, 124
atomic bombs, 52, 56, 70, 77, 88, 211
“Atoms for Peace” speech, 88
attack: Cold War nuclear weapons poised for, 30–31, 53, 84; nuclear arsenals under, 121–22. See also terrorism; terrorism, nuclear
Australia, 30, 81, 154, 248n32
Axelrod, David, 12
Axis of Evil, 29. See also Iran; Iraq; North Korea
Ayotte, Kelly, 94–95
Bahrain, 30
Baker, James, 38, 45, 221n25
Banco Delta Asia, sanctions on, 161–62
Banuri, Khalid, 144
Batcher, Robert, 68
BCA. See Budget Control Act
Belarus, 148, 154
Benedict, Kennette, 173–74, 189
Berman, Howard L., 139
Bhutto, Benazir, 125, 126, 127–28
Biden, Joe, 4, 38, 113
bin Laden, Osama, 19, 24, 133, 134. See also al Qaeda
biological weapons, 23, 25, 26, 31
black market, nuclear: with active smuggling networks, 32–33; A. Q. Khan and, 25, 32–33, 133, 134, 164; nuclear technology traded in, 17, 194
Blair, Bruce, 56–57, 93
Blake, Robert, 126
blasts, nuclear, 63–65, 100
Bolton, John, 20–21, 22, 42, 95, 219n6
Bolus, Naila, 178, 180
bombs: atomic, 52, 56, 70, 77, 88, 211; hydrogen, 55, 64; nuclear, 28–29, 63–66, 100; with plutonium cores, 78
Bomb Scare: The History and Future of Nuclear Weapons (Cirincione), 2, 134, 161
Brazil, 30, 60, 81, 154, 157, 248n32, 248n33
“Breaking the War Mentality” (Obama), 14
Brest, Paul, 176–77, 183
Brezhnev, Leonid, 102
Brish, Arkady, 211–12
Brooks, David, 83
Brooks, Linton, 43, 222n38
Brown, Gordon, 38
Brown, Harold, 111
Brzezinski, Zbigniew, 167, 185, 221n25
Budget Control Act (BCA), 82
budgets: China’s annual defense, 79; fiscal crisis in U.S., 79–84; global fiscal crisis, 193; global military, 81; Russia’s military, 81, 102; U.S. military, 75–80, 81, 82–83, 102
budgets, nuclear: affordability of new weapons, 87–88; annual costs, 85; argument for cuts, 77; argument for increases, 76–77, 86–87; downsizing, 91–96; environmental and health costs, 85; environmental cleanup, 78; missile defense, 85; NNSA, 77–78; nuclear incident management, 85, 232n41; nuclear threat reduction, 85, 232n41; polls, 3, 75–79; savings with arsenal reduction, 90–91; smaller arsenals and reasonable, 88–90; studies, 78–79, 85–86
Bundy, McGeorge, 1–2
bunkers, underground, 23, 31
Burk, Susan, 46
Burma, 158
Burns, Nicholas, 28, 33–34
Burt, Richard, 43, 93
Bush, George H. W., 103–4, 105, 116
Bush, George W., 4, 92, 134; antimissile weapons systems and, 13; NPR and, 23, 29, 31, 104–5; nuclear policy, 20–25, 42, 54, 101, 104–5, 161; SORT and, 222n35; war on Iraq, false allegations,, and, 22, 24, 25–26
Bush (George W.) doctrine: on arms control, 20–21, 104–5; counter-proliferation strategy, 25; on military action over diplomacy and containment, 22–23; nonproliferation treaties discounted by, 23–24, 30; repairing damage caused by, 33–35; successes, 24–25; terrorism, hostile regimes and, 22, 23, 25; on U.S. power, 21–22, 23
Bush (George W.) doctrine, failures: active nuclear smuggling networks, 32–33; antimissile programs and failed promises, 33; Cold War nuclear weapons poised for attack, 30–31, 53, 84; with increase of nuclear terrorism, 27; Iran and acceleration of nuclear program, 27–28; nonproliferation regime weakened, 32; North Korea, nuclear bomb detonation, and weapons program expansion, 28–29; proliferation of nuclear technology, 29–30; U.S.-India deal and spread of nuclear weapons, 32, 144; value of nuclear weapons increased, 31
“Call for Global Nuclear Disarmament, A” (Sagan, S.), 60–61
Cambone, Stephen, 222n38
Canada, 30, 81, 154, 248n32, 248n33
cancer deaths, 65
Cantor, Eric, 80
Carlucci, Frank, 38, 97
Carnegie, Andrew, 174
Carnegie Corporation of New York, 186
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 73, 124, 125, 144, 170, 174
Carroll, Paul, 160
Carter, Ash, 96
Cartwright, James, 84, 92
casualties: cancer deaths, 65; famine, 70, 132; global nuclear war, 65–67, 195, 203, 228n8; from nuclear submarine strike, 64, 65; in nuclear war, 63–67, 203, 228n8; with Pakistan-India migration, 127, 128; in South Asian nuclear war, 68, 132
CBMs. See confidence-building measures
Center for American Progress, 247n28
Center for Public Integrity, 3, 76, 101, 218n6
Chari, P. R., 71
Chemical and Metallurgical Research Replacement (CMRR) facility, 184
chemical weapons, 23, 25, 26, 31
Cheney, Dick, 24
China, 26, 32, 45, 102, 150, 248n32, 248n33; annual defense budget, 79; India and relations with, 137; military budget, 81; North Korea’s relations with, 160; nuclear arsenal, 59, 60; nuclear program, 245n17; Pakistan and relations with, 133; U.S. national debt and, 230n11; U.S. policies and influence on, 112, 136
Choubey, Deepti, 47, 232n41
Christopher, Warren, 38, 221n25
Cirincione, Joseph, 2, 134, 161
climate change, 13; global warming and, 1; nuclear war and, 69–70, 132
ClimateWorks, 176
Clinton, Bill, 28, 55, 222n35; Bush doctrine and, 22–23; nuclear policy, 20, 21, 103, 105; Pakistan policy, 134–35
Clinton, Hillary, 46, 106; on Iran, 166–67; on security of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal, 125–26
CMRR. See Chemical and Metallurgical Research Replacement facility
Cold Start, India and, 129, 131
Cold War, 1, 4; nuclear policies and failure to adapt to post-, 101; nuclear weapons poised for attack, 30–31, 53, 84
Colombe Foundation, 189
Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, 16, 32, 35, 42, 43, 45, 72, 200, 204
confidence-building measures (CBMs), 140, 142
Congressional Research Service, 220n14
containment policy, Bush doctrine and, 22–23
Cornyn, John, 106
Council for a Livable World, 179
Council on Foreign Relations Task Force, 138–39, 141, 144
Countdown to Zero (film), 189
counter-proliferation strategy, 25
Coyle, Philip, 223n44
cruise missiles, 55, 57, 59, 86, 88, 94, 123, 140, 166
Cuban Missile Crisis, 54, 60, 142
cube, big, 176–78
Czech Republic: antimissile weapons systems and, 13; Obama speech in Prague, 4, 11–17, 37, 40, 106, 169–70, 191–98, 209–13; Prague Spring, 192; protests in, 13; radar installations, 31; Velvet Revolution in, 13, 192, 198
Daalder, Ivo, 35, 89–90
Dagan, Meir, 167
Dalton, Toby, 124, 125
Deadly Arsenals: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Threats (Cirincione, Wolfsthal, Rajkumar), 2
debt, U.S. national, 79, 230n11
DeMint, Jim, 86, 95
Dempsey, John, 168
deterrence, 108; Iran and, 167, 169, 184–85; without numerical parity, 114
Deutch, John, 111
diplomacy: Bush doctrine with military action and, 22–23; Pakistan and India, 139–41
disarmament, 60–61, 93, 96; Obama UN speech on nonproliferation and, 203–5; as part of web of restraints, 153–54; U.S., 72–73; by U.S. and Russia and impact on global nonproliferation, 111–12, 148–50
Douglas, Michael, 189
Drell, Sidney, 93, 106
Duncan, John, 47
economy: global crash of 2008, 12; Pakistan and improvements for, 137–39
Eden, Lynn, 64
education, Pakistan, 138
Effects of Nuclear War, The (U.S. Office of Technology Assessment), 66–67
Egypt, 30, 154, 248n32
Eisenhower, Dwight D., 88
Elements of a Nuclear Disarmament Treaty (Blechman and Bollfrass), 96
enrichment facilities, uranium, 17, 27–28, 38–39, 123, 135, 164–65
enrichment programs, uranium, 25, 29–30, 157
environment, budgets, 78, 85
European Union (EU), 39, 141
Facebook, 182
Fallon, William, 185
false alarms, for nuclear war, 53–57
famine, global, 70, 132
Fate of the Earth, The (Schell), 52
Fedorov, Yury, 108–9
Fiasco (Ricks), 26
Finlay, Brian, 27
fire, nuclear, 63–65, 69, 100
fiscal crisis: global, 193; U.S., 79–84
fissile material: international fuel bank of, 17, 196; plutonium, 29, 39, 78, 107, 123, 142, 158, 160–61, 184, 246n6; threat of missing, 121–22, 124–26; transparency, 142; treaty to ban production of, 16–17; uranium, 17, 25, 27–30, 32, 38–39, 107, 125, 135, 157, 164–65
Ford, Christopher, 111
Ford Foundation, 174–75
Foreign Affairs, 6, 21, 89
Forsyth, James Jr., 94
foundations, 249n11; funders, 188; grants, 183, 185–86, 213; philanthropy and, 173–76, 183; Ploughshares Fund, 2, 4, 174, 176–89, 213–14, 249n16, 249n21. See also specific foundations
France, 26, 31, 38, 112, 150, 248n32, 248n33; military budget, 81; nuclear arsenals, 58–59, 60; nuclear program, 245n17
Friedman, Benjamin, 91, 94
Friends Committee on National Legislation, 184
Frost, Robert, 51
fuel bank, international, 17, 196
funders, foundation, 188
funding: foundation grants, 183, 185–86, 213; nonproliferation, 27; U.S. antimissile weapons systems and increased, 24, 33, 78, 223n44; U.S. nuclear weapon programs, 43, 115, 232n38
Gaddafi, Moammar, 25
Gallucci, Robert, 135–36, 175–76
Galton, Melissa, 158
Gates, Robert, 41–42, 43, 79, 80
genetic damage, 65
Germany, 26, 60, 81, 154, 248n32
Gfk Roper Public Affairs & Media, 3, 217n4
Gibbs, Robert, 12, 14, 16
Gilani, Yousaf Raza, 126
Gilpatric, Roswell, 151
Gilpatric Committee, 151–52
global warming, 1. See also climate change
Global Zero: movement, 56; Nuclear Policy Commission, 92
Goldberg, Jeffrey, 122
Goodby, James, 93, 161
Gorbachev, Mikhail, 102, 103, 116, 186, 189
Gottemoeller, Rose, 170
Graham, Lindsey, 83
grants, foundation, 183, 185–86, 213
Gregory, Shaun, 125
Gronlund, Lisbeth, 223n44
Grotto, Andrew, 247n28
Haass, Richard, 33, 79
Hadley, Stephen, 21, 31, 45
Hagel, Chuck, 14, 28, 93, 185
Haider, Saleem, 135
Hale, Roger, 178
Hameed, Sadika, 139
Hamilton, Lee, 27
Harvey, Hal, 176–77, 183
health, environmental costs and, 85
Hecker, Siegfried, 160, 162
Heinrichs, Rebeccah, 92
Helfand, Ira, 70
Heritage Foundation, 80, 92, 107, 181
Hibbs, Mark, 125, 160
Hoagland, Jim, 39
Holloway, David, 169
hotlines, direct executive, 142
Hundley, Tom, 126, 130
Hunter, Tom, 43–44
Hussein, Saddam, 22, 24, 25, 26
hydrogen bombs, 55, 64
IISS. See International Institute for Strategic Studies
IMF. See International Monetary Fund
impact philanthropy, 176, 178, 181, 183, 186–87
incrementalists, 35, 41
India, 248n32, 248n33; casualties in nuclear war, 68; China and relations with, 137; Cold Start, 129, 131; doomsday doctrines, 129–33; famine in, 70; military, 81, 132; nuclear arsenal, 59, 60, 132–33; nuclear program, 32, 47, 59, 120, 128–29, 151, 245n17; with nuclear testing, 20, 72, 128; Pakistan and improved relations with, 136, 137–44; Pakistan and nuclear balance with, 70–71, 121, 130–33; with Pakistan-India migration, 127, 128; Pakistan’s troubled past with, 127–30; plutonium, 142; terrorism attacks on, 130–32; U.S.-India deal and spread of nuclear weapons, 32, 144; U.S. policies and influence on, 112, 136
Intermediate Nuclear Forces Treaty, 103
International Atomic Energy Agency, 24
International Campaign to Ban Land Mines, 177
International Commission on Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Disarmament, 93
International Crisis Group, 141
International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), 124, 131, 163–64
International Monetary Fund (IMF), 193
International Security Advisory Board, 116–17
Iran, 31, 43, 105, 248n33; Bush doctrine and, 24; deterrence and, 167, 169, 184–85; with Israel, 162–63, 165–67; A. Q. Khan and nuclear black market, 32–33, 164; missiles in, 13; negotiating with, 17, 153, 221n25; as new nuclear state, 157–58, 162–72; NPT and, 47; nuclear program, 15, 19, 20, 24, 27–28, 38–39, 45, 120, 135, 153, 154, 163–64, 197, 245n17; Obama policy on, 113; sanctions on, 39, 167–69, 208; uranium, 38–39, 164–65; U.S. relations with, 136; U.S.-Russian cooperation and strengthened positions on, 112–13; WMD and, 24, 26
Iran Project, 185
Iraq, 31, 105, 154, 248n33; biological weapons, 26; George W. Bush false allegations and war with, 22, 24, 25–26; chemical weapons, 26; cost of war in, 220n14, 230n15; nuclear program, 20; terrorism and, 27; UN sanctions on, 20; UN Special Commission on, 24; U.S. National Intelligence Estimate on, 26; WMD and, 22–23
Irvine, Matthew, 158
Israel, 24, 158, 248n32, 248n33; with Iran, 162–63, 165–67; nondeclaratory policy, 59; nuclear arsenal, 59, 60; nuclear program, 59, 245n17
Italy, 81, 154, 241n45, 248n32
Japan, 16, 26, 60, 150, 154, 248n32; famine in, 70; Fukushima, 143; military budget, 81; plutonium, 158
Jinnah, Mohammed Ali, 127
John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation, 135, 173, 175–76, 186, 187
John Merck Foundation, 249n11
Johnson, Lyndon B., 151
Jones, James, 14
Jones, Owen Bennett, 129
Jordan, 26, 30, 89
Joseph, Robert, 222n38
Kagan, Robert, 21
Kahl, Colin, 158–59, 165, 166
Kampelman, Max, 106
Kargil crisis, 70–71, 129
Kazakhstan, 148, 154
Kean, Thomas, 27
Keller, Bill, 167, 168
Kennedy, John F., 1, 3, 38, 84, 150, 207
Kerry, John, 4, 138, 139, 181
Khan, Abdul Qadeer (A. Q.), 128, 134, 135, 240n38. See also Abdul Qadeer Khan nuclear black market
Khan, Liaquat Ali, 127
Kidwai, Khalid, 130
Kimball, Daryl, 46–47, 91
Kissinger, Henry, 35, 38, 106, 117, 189, 205, 221n25
Klaus, Vaclav, 12
Korea. See North Korea; South Korea
Krauthammer, Charles, 42–43, 167–68
Krepon, Michael, 71, 140
Kristensen, Hans, 43, 59, 93, 122–23, 133
Kristol, William, 22
Kyl, Jon, 86, 106–7, 148, 181
Ladwig, Walter, 129–30
Laird, Melvin, 38
Lamb, Robert, 139
Landau Network–Centro Volta, 241n45
land mines, 177, 187–88
launches, accidental, 56–57
LeMay, Curtis, 55
Levin, Carl, 84
Lewis, Jeffrey, 54–55, 88, 96
Libya, 30, 31, 105, 154, 248n33; A. Q. Khan and nuclear black market, 32–33; long-range ballistic missiles, 25; nuclear program, 20, 25
Lillienthal, Sally, 177, 213
Lincoln, Abraham, 6
Lodal, Jan, 35, 89–90
“Logic of Zero, The” (Daalder and Lodal), 35, 89
long-range ballistic missiles: Libya and, 25; in Russia, 52; testing, 16; U.S. and, 52, 53, 223n44
Los Alamos National Laboratory, 78, 160, 184
Lugar, Richard “Dick,” 14, 138, 139, 171–72, 181
MacArthur Foundation. See John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation
Manhattan Project, 34
Mao Zedong, 168
Markey, Daniel, 138
Markey, Ed, 32
Masaryk, Thomas, 12, 191–92
Mathews, Jessica, 170, 185
Mazarr, Michael, 161
McCain, John, 4, 34, 83
McDonough, Denis, 12, 14
Medvedev, Dmitry, 39, 116, 195, 199; New START and, 4–5, 44–46, 210; nuclear policy, 110–11, 209–11
Menon, Raja, 71
Mian, Zia, 143
Middle East, 26, 27, 30, 47, 163. See also specific countries
Miliband, David, 45
military: global budgets, 81; India, 81, 132; Pakistan, 124–25, 127; Russia, 81, 102, 116; taken off high alert, 114, 116. See also U.S. military
Miller, George, 43–44
Miller, James N., 42
mines, land, 177, 187–88
missiles: Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, 24, 104; cruise, 55, 57, 59, 86, 88, 94, 123, 140, 166; Cuban Missile Crisis, 54, 60, 142; defense budgets, 85; in Iran, 13; long-range ballistic, 16, 25, 52, 53, 223n44; submarine-based, 54. See also antimissile programs; antimissile weapons systems
mobile targets, 23
Money Well Spent (Brest and Harvey), 176
Mowatt-Larssen, Rolf, 125
Mullen, Michael, 126
Musharraf, Pervez, 125, 126, 129
Muslims, 127–28, 136
Narang, Vipin, 121
Nasr, Vali, 134
Natalegawa, Marty, 46
National Defense Authorization Act, 231n26
National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), 149–51
National Security Project, 179
“National Security Strategy of the United States of America, The,” 23
“National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction,” 23
NATO, 13, 30, 107, 134, 135, 192, 193; Article V, 194; “Deterrence and Defense Posture Review,” 108
Nawaz, Shuja, 124, 139, 143
Nayyar, A. H., 143
neoconservatives, 21–25
Netanyahu, Benjamin, 165
New START campaign: explanation of, 17879; strategy, network and leadership, 179–82. See also START treaty
NIE. See National Intelligence Estimate
“Nightmare on Nuke Street” (Lewis), 54
NNSA. See Nuclear National Security Administration
Nobel Peace Prize, 5
Non-Aligned Movement, 46
nondeclaratory policy, Israel, 59
non-nuclear-weapons states, 60, 153–54
nonproliferation: arguments for, 89–90; Bush doctrine and discounting of, 2324, 30; funding, 27; Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, 15, 25, 29, 32, 36, 39, 46–47, 60, 72, 110, 115–16, 144, 153–54, 161, 170, 196, 200, 204, 211; Obama UN speech on disarmament and, 203–5; regime weakened, 32; U.S.-Russia disarmament and impact on global, 111–12, 148–50
Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), Review Conference, 25, 32, 39, 46–47, 107, 115–16
Noor (Queen of Jordan), 89
NORAD, 54–55
Norquist, Grover, 83
Norris, Robert S., 59, 93, 122
North Korea, 43, 105, 248n33; as Axis of Evil, 29; Bush doctrine and, 24; China’s relations with, 160; A. Q. Khan and nuclear black market, 32–33; as new nuclear state, 157–58, 159–62; NPT and, 47; nuclear arsenal, 59, 246n6; Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and withdrawal by, 29, 161; nuclear program, 15, 28–29, 45, 59, 120, 154, 245n17; with nuclear technology, 160; with nuclear testing, 16, 20, 28–29, 72, 158, 159, 196; nuclear warheads, 246n6; plutonium, 29, 160–61, 246n6; sanctions on, 208; U.S. relations with, 160–61, 196–97
Norway, 154, 248n32
NPR. See Nuclear Posture Review
NPT. See Non-Proliferation Treaty
nuclear arms race: in South Asia, 19, 67; in space, 95
nuclear balance, 70–73, 121, 130–33
nuclear bombs, 28–29; blast, 63–65, 100; fire, 63–65; radiation, 63–65, 66. See also atomic bombs; hydrogen bombs
nuclear forces: Russian, 58; U.S., 57
nuclear incident management, budget for, 85, 232n41
Nuclear National Security Administration (NNSA), 77–78
Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, 15, 36, 46, 72; non-nuclear-weapons states, 60, 153–54; North Korea’s withdrawal from, 29, 161; Review Conference, 25, 32, 39, 46–47, 115–16; Russia and, 110, 170; U.S. and, 170, 196, 200, 204, 211; U.S.-India deal and, 32, 144
Nuclear Posture Review (NPR): George W. Bush and, 23, 29, 31, 104–5; Obama and, 6, 39, 41–42, 43–44, 46–47, 87, 96, 105–6, 116, 199–200, 199–201; strategic pivot, 105–6; verdict, 155
nuclear programs: China, 245n17; France, 245n17; India, 32, 47, 59, 120, 128–29, 151, 245n17; Iran, 15, 19, 20, 24, 27–28, 38–39, 45, 120, 135, 153, 154, 163–64, 197, 245n17; Iraq, 20; Israel, 59, 245n17; Libya, 20, 25; North Korea, 15, 28–29, 45, 59, 120, 154, 245n17; Pakistan, 32, 47, 59, 119, 121–22, 128–29, 154, 240n38, 245n17; Russia, 245n17; South Korea, 158; UK, 245n17; U.S., 43, 245n17
nuclear-risk-reduction centers, 142–43
Nuclear Security Summit, 39, 107, 207
Nuclear Threat Initiative, 189
nuclear threat reduction, budget for, 85, 232n41
nuclear warheads: dismantling, 222n35; North Korea, 246n6; reductions, 116; Russia, 30, 53, 58, 115; U.S., 30, 46, 53, 115, 231n35
nuclear weapons: accidents, 54–57; affordability of new, 87–88; arguments for increase in, 92; balance achieved with, 70–73, 121, 130–33; with ban on fissile material production, 16–17; China and stockpile of, 59, 60; from Cold War poised for attack, 30–31, 53, 84; countries known to have, 245n17; downsizing, 91–96, 136, 170–71; France and stockpile of, 58–59, 60; India and stockpile of, 59, 60; Israel and stockpile of, 59, 60; non-nuclear-weapons states, 60, 153–54; number allowable under New START, 235n2; number in today’s global arsenal, 1; Pakistan and stockpile of, 59, 60; polls on elimination of, 3, 189, 217n4; Russian stockpiles of, 52, 53, 58, 60; spread of, 51–61; UK and stockpile of, 59, 60; U.S.-India deal and spread of, 32, 144; U.S. stockpiles of, 46, 52, 53, 57, 60, 92; with values increased, 31; views and doctrines, 101–4; views and doctrines interrupted, 104–5; zero, 3, 7, 106–7, 111, 186, 205, 207, 211. See also specific nuclear weapons
nuclear winter, calculating, 69–70
Nuke Watch New Mexico, 184
Nunn, Sam, 31, 35, 38, 57, 106, 117, 171–72, 188, 189, 205
Obama, Barack: with George W. Bush legacy, 20–21, 25–33, 34, 101, 114; defense budget and, 80, 83; Iran policy, 113; mandate for, 7; New START and, 4–5, 44–46, 209–13; NPR and, 6, 39, 41–42, 43–44, 46–47, 87, 96, 105–6, 116, 199200, 199–201; nuclear policy, 2–3, 4, 6, 14–16, 34–35, 37–44, 47–48, 54, 86–87, 96–97, 102, 105–8, 162–63, 171–72, 178, 195–96; nuclear security agenda, 39–40; nuclear strategy, 41–42; Prague speech, 4, 11–17, 37, 40, 106, 169–70, 191–98, 20913; public involvement and, 173–74; reactions to nuclear policy of, 42–44; remarks at New START Treaty signing, 209–13; as senator, 14–15; state of union address, 207–8; UN speech on disarmament and nonproliferation, 203–5
Obama, Michelle, 11–12, 191
Oelrich, Ivan, 93
O’Hanlon, Michael, 92
Ong, Carah, 249n21
On the Beach (Shute), 52
Opportunity, The: Next Steps in Reducing Nuclear Arms (Pifer and O’Hanlon), 92
Ottawa Dialogue, 143
Painter, Daniel, 141
Pakistan, 19, 27, 31, 40, 248n33; casualties in nuclear war, 68; China and relations with, 133; diplomacy, 139–41; doomsday doctrines, 129–33; economic improvements, 137–39; education, 138; India and improved relations with, 136, 137–44; India and nuclear balance with, 70–71, 121, 130–33; India’s troubled past with, 127–30; A. Q. Khan and nuclear black market, 32–33; media depictions of, 120–21; military, 124–25, 127; as most dangerous country, 119–22, 126–27; nuclear arsenal, 59, 60, 121, 122–27, 132; nuclear arsenals under attack, 121–22; nuclear program, 32, 47, 59, 119, 121–22, 128–29, 154, 240n38, 245n17; with nuclear testing, 20; with Pakistan-India migration, 127, 128; plutonium, 123, 142; al Qaeda and ties to, 119, 126; security of nuclear arsenal, 124–27; short-term nuclear fixes, 141–44; terrorism and, 130, 131, 135; U.S. and military aid to, 135, 138, 240n38; U.S. policies and influence on, 112, 133–39, 141–44
Panetta, Leon, 166
Panofsky, Wolfgang, 34
parity, numerical, 114
Participant Media, 188–89
Patrushev, Nikolai, 109
Paul, Rand, 81
Payne, Keith, 94
peace agreements, 187
Perkovich, George, 124, 125, 170
Perle, Richard, 22, 219n6
Perry, William, 35, 38, 45–46, 97, 106, 116–17, 149, 189, 205
Peterson, Peter G., 82
philanthropy, 173–75; impact, 176, 178, 181, 183, 186–87. See also foundations
Pickering, Thomas, 93
Pifer, Steven, 92
Ploughshares Fund, 2, 4, 174, 249n21; big cube, 176–78; grants, 183, 185–86, 213; impact philanthropy and, 176, 178, 181, 183, 186–87; mandate, 213–14; model replicated, 183–85; New START Campaign and, 178–82; Nuclear Security Field, 185–89; organizational structure and strategy, 182; website, 249n16. See also foundations
plutonium, 39, 78, 107, 184; India, 142; Japan, 158; North Korean and, 29, 160–61, 246n6; Pakistan and, 123, 142. See also fissile material
Podvig, Pavel, 109
Poland, 13, 31
policies, nuclear, 6, 27; containment, 22–23; failures, 25–33; with failure to adapt to post–Cold War, 101; Israel’s nondeclaratory, 59. See also Bush, George W.; Clinton, Bill; Obama, Barack; Reagan, Ronald; specific countries
polls: elimination of nuclear weapons, 3, 189, 217n4; limiting nuclear weapons for U.S. and Russia, 3; nuclear budgets, 3, 75–79; spending cuts for nuclear weapons, 3, 218n6; testing bans, 3, 217n3
posture: with disarmament as part of web of restraints, 153–54; explanation of, 147–49; history’s verdict, 154–55; link between proliferation and U.S., 149–51; NATO’s “Deterrence and Defense Posture Review,” 108; U.S. and Russia force, 102. See also Nuclear Posture Review
Powell, Colin, 21, 28, 38, 221n25
power, U.S., 21–22, 23
Prague Spring, 192. See also Czech Republic
Preble, Christopher, 91, 94
Pressler amendment, 240n38
productivity, agriculture, 70, 132
Program on International Policy Attitudes, 3, 217n3
Project for the New American Century, 21
Project on Government Oversight, 184
proliferation: counter-proliferation strategy, 25; with disarmament as part of web of restraints, 153–54; end of, 157–72; historic linkage between U.S. nuclear posture and, 149–51; history’s verdict, 154–55; of nuclear technology, 29–30; UN Resolution 1540, 25. See also nonproliferation
Prospect Hill Foundation, 249n11
protests, 13, 192, 198
public involvement, importance of, 173–74, 187, 192
Putin, Vladimir, 24, 54, 108, 113, 173, 222n35
al Qaeda, 22, 24, 26, 27, 40; Pakistan and ties to, 119, 126; terrorism and, 194, 197
race. See nuclear arms race
radar, 13, 31, 33
radiation, 63–65, 66, 69, 100
Rajkumar, Miriam, 2
Ramana, M. V., 143
“Rationale and Requirements for U.S. Nuclear Forces and Arms Control” (Payne et al.), 31
Reagan, Ronald, 6, 20, 23, 38, 189, 207; with aid to Pakistan, 240n38; nuclear policy, 102–3, 105; “Star Wars” antimissile system, 52; on zero nuclear weapons, 3, 7, 186, 205
regimes, hostile: Pakistan as potential, 119–22, 126–27; terrorism linked to, 22, 23, 25–26, 105
Resolving Ambiguity: Costing Nuclear Weapons (Stimson Center), 78
ReThink Media, 179–82
Reykjavik (film), 189
Rice, Condoleezza, 20, 21, 126
Ricks, Tom, 26
Riedel, Bruce, 131–32, 139, 141, 143
Rockefeller Brothers Fund, 186, 189, 249n11
Rogin, Josh, 178, 180
Romania, 154, 248n32
Romney, Mitt, 83, 181
Roosevelt, Franklin, 6
Rumsfeld, Donald, 22, 23
Russia, 20, 248n32, 248n33; antimissile weapons systems as viewed by, 13; arms control and, 40; casualties in global nuclear war, 228n8; with Cold War nuclear weapons, 31, 84; disarmament and impact on global nonproliferation, 111–12, 148–50; force posture, 102; force structure and use doctrine, 100–101; long-range ballistic missiles, 52; with mandate to lead by example, 151–52, 170, 211; military budget, 81, 102; with military taken off high alert, 116; New START and, 4–5, 44–46, 99–100, 110–11, 210; nuclear arsenal, 99–100, 110, 226n3; Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and, 110, 170; nuclear policy, 108–11, 209–11; nuclear program, 245n17; nuclear reductions with U.S., 116; nuclear warheads, 30, 53, 58, 115; nuclear weapons, 52, 53, 58, 60; polls on limiting nuclear weapons for, 3; Pressler amendment, Afghanistan, and, 240n38; radar installations, 33; steps to enhance security for U.S. and, 113–17; with transparency increased, 115–16; with U.S. cooperation and strengthened positions on Iran, 112–13; U.S. relations with, 31, 148, 207, 209–10, 212; views and doctrines, 1014; views and doctrines interrupted, 104–5
Ryan, Paul, 81
Sagan, Carl, 68
Sagan, Scott, 60–61, 111–12
Saltzman, B. Chance, 94
Samore, Gary, 12
sanctions: on Banco Delta Asia, 161–62; on Iran, 39, 167–69, 208; Iraq and UN, 20; on North Korea, 208
Sandia National Laboratories, 78
Sanger, David, 23
Sarkozy, Nicolas, 38
Saudi Arabia, 30, 81
Schaub, Gary Jr., 94
Schell, Jonathan, 52
Schlesinger, James, 45, 149
Schmitt, Gary, 21
Schwartz, Stephen, 232n41
Scowcroft, Brent, 32, 45, 104, 185, 221n25
security: of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal, 124–27; Ploughshares Fund and nuclear, 185–89
September 11, 2001, 21, 22, 138
Shaheen, Jeanne, 45
Sheehan, Jack, 92
Shultz, George, 35, 38, 42, 105–6, 117, 189, 205
Shuster, Mike, 135
Shute, Nevil, 52
Single Integrated Operational Plan (SIOP), 100
Six Party Talks, 161
Skoll, Jeffrey, 188
Skoll Global Threat Fund, 188
Slaughter, Anne-Marie, 185
Smith, Adam, 83–84
Smith, R. Jeffrey, 101
smuggling. See black market, nuclear
SORT. See Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty
South Africa, 30, 154, 248n32, 248n33
South Asia: casualties with nuclear war in, 68, 132; nuclear arms race in, 19, 67; nuclear balance in, 70–71, 121, 130–33. See also India; Pakistan
South Korea, 30, 81, 154, 158, 248n33
space, nuclear arms race in, 95
Spain, 55, 154, 248n32
speeches: Eisenhower’s “Atoms for Peace,” 88; Kennedy’s modern-weapons, 88–90; Obama’s state of union address, 207–8; Obama’s UN disarmament and nonproliferation, 203–5; Obama’s at New START Treaty signing, 209–13; Obama’s in Prague, 4, 11–17, 37, 40, 106, 169–70, 191–98, 209–13
Spring, Baker, 80, 92
START (Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty) treaty, 3; I, 44, 103, 104; II, 30, 103, 108; III, 222n35; New, 4–5, 39, 43, 44–46, 84, 91–92, 95, 99–100, 107, 110–11, 148, 209–13; New START campaign, 178–82
“Star Wars” antimissile system, 52
Stimson Center, 3, 78, 140, 218n6
Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty. See START treaty
Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty (SORT), 30, 104, 222n35
strategies, nuclear, 15, 25, 41–42, 105–6
studies: IISS, 124, 131; nuclear budgets, 7879, 85–86; proliferation’s end, 158–59
submarines, nuclear: casualties from, 64, 65; Russia and submarine-based missiles, 54; U.S. Navy, 87, 90–91, 232n49
suitcase, nuclear, 53
Sweden, 151, 154, 248n32
Switzerland, 154, 179, 248n32
Syria, 24, 30, 31, 105, 158
Taiwan, 72, 154, 248n32, 248n33
Talbot, Strobe, 6
Taliban, 24, 27, 126
targets: coordinates, 55–56; destruction, 100–101; mobile, 23, 31; zero-based, 114
Taubman, Philip, 106
Tauscher, Ellen, 46
technology, nuclear: black market and trading of, 17, 194; North Korea and restricted abilities for, 160; proliferation of, 29–30; U.S.-India deal with, 32, 144
terrorism: Bush doctrine on, 22, 23, 25; increase in international, 221n21; India and, 130–32; Iraq and, 27; Pakistan and, 130, 131, 135; al Qaeda and, 194, 197; regimes linked to, 22, 23, 25–26, 105; September 11, 2001, 21, 22, 138
terrorism, nuclear: Bush doctrine and increased, 27; as greatest threat to U.S., 4, 89, 121, 197, 210; with threat of missing fissile material, 121–22, 124–26
Tertrais, Bruno, 124, 125
testing, nuclear: Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, 16, 32, 35, 42, 43, 45, 72, 200, 204; global ban on, 16, 149–50; India, 20, 72, 128; North Korea, 16, 20, 28–29, 72, 158, 159, 196; Pakistan, 20; polls on testing bans, 3, 217n3; Russia and submarine-based missile, 54
threats, 2; budget for nuclear threat reduction, 85, 232n41; of missing fissile material, 121–22, 124–26; nuclear terrorism in U.S., 4, 89, 121; Nuclear Threat Initiative, 189; of nuclear war with India and Pakistan, 129–33; Skoll Global Threat Fund, 188; solutions to, 173–89
Tirman, John, 186–87
Topolanek, Mirek, 12
trade: of nuclear technology on black market, 17; Pakistan and India, 137
transformationalists, 35, 41
transparency: increased, 115–16, 142; lack of, 133
treaties: Anti-Ballistic Missile, 24, 104; to ban fissile-material production, 16–17; Bush doctrine and discounting of nonproliferation, 23–24, 30; Comprehensive Test Ban, 16, 32, 35, 42, 43, 45, 72, 200, 204; Elements of a Nuclear Disarmament Treaty (Blechman and Bollfrass), 96; Intermediate Nuclear Forces, 103; New START, 4–5, 39, 43, 44–46, 84, 91–92, 95, 99–100, 107, 148, 209–13, 210, 235n2; NPT Review Conference, 25, 32, 39, 46–47, 107, 115–16; Nuclear Non-Proliferation, 15, 25, 29, 32, 36, 46–47, 60, 72, 110, 115–16, 144, 153–54, 161, 170, 196, 200, 204, 211; SORT, 30, 104, 222n35; START, 3; START I, 44, 103, 104; START II, 30, 103, 108; START III, 222n35
Truman, Harry, 16, 30, 149
Turco, Richard, 68
Turkey, 26, 30, 81
Turner, Ted, 188
Twitter, 182
UK. See United Kingdom
Ukraine, 30, 148, 154
UN. See United Nations
underground bunkers, 23, 31
Union of Concerned Scientists, 184, 223n44
United Arab Emirates, 30
United Kingdom, 59, 60, 81, 245n17, 248n32, 248n33
United Nations: Kennedy’s modern-weapons speech to, 88–90; New START treaty and, 39; Obama speech on non-proliferation and disarmament, 203–5; Resolution 1887, 38; sanctions on Iran, 39, 208; sanctions on Iraq, 20; Security Council Resolution 1540, 25; Special Commission on Iraq, 24
United States, 248n32, 248n33; antimissile weapons systems and, 13, 24, 33, 223n44; arms control and, 40–41; as benevolent empire, 21; casualties in global nuclear war, 228n8; China policies, 112, 136; with de-emphasis on international relations, 34; disarmament, 72–73; disarmament and impact on global nonproliferation, 111–12, 148–50; fiscal crisis, 79–84; force posture, 102; force structure and use doctrine, 100101; funding for antimissile weapons systems, 24, 33, 78, 223n44; funding for nuclear weapon programs, 43, 115, 232n38; global views of, 26, 37, 134, 138; historic linkage between nuclear posture and proliferation, 149–51; India deal and spread of nuclear weapons, 32, 144; India policies, 112, 136; Iran and relations with, 136; long-range ballistic missiles, 52, 223n44; with mandate to lead by example, 7, 151–52, 170, 195, 211; Middle East policy, 27; national debt, 79, 230n11; New START and, 4–5, 44–46, 95, 99–100, 148, 20913, 210, 235n2; North Korea’s relations with, 160–61, 196–97; nuclear arsenal, 46, 76–77, 83–96, 99–100, 226n3; Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and, 170, 196, 200, 204, 211; with nuclear policy problems of 2011, 6; nuclear program, 43, 245n17; nuclear reductions with Russia, 116; nuclear security agenda, 39–40; nuclear strategy, 41–42; nuclear terrorism as greatest threat to, 4, 89, 121, 197, 210; nuclear warheads, 30, 46, 53, 115, 231n35; Pakistan and military aid from, 135, 138, 240n38; Pakistan policies, 112, 133–39, 141–44; polls on limiting nuclear weapons for, 3; power, 21–22, 23; reactions to nuclear policy of, 42–44; reductions and recommendations, 116–17; with Russian cooperation and strengthened positions on Iran, 112–13; Russia’s relations with, 31, 148, 207, 209–10, 212; steps to enhance security for Russia and, 113–17; stockpiles of nuclear weapons, 46, 52, 53, 57, 60, 231n35; with transparency increased, 115–16; views and doctrines, 101–4; views and doctrines interrupted, 104–5; withdrawal from Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, 24, 104. See also Bush, George H. W.; Bush, George W.; Clinton, Bill; Obama, Barack; Reagan, Ronald
Universal Compliance (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace), 73, 170
uranium: enrichment facilities, 17, 27–28, 38–39, 123, 135, 164–65; enrichment programs, 25, 29–30, 157; with global stocks secured, 39, 107; Iran, 38–39, 164–65; U.S.-India deal and, 32. See also fissile material
U.S. See United States
U.S. Air Force, 88, 91
U.S. military: with affordability of new nuclear weapons, 87–88; budget, 75–80, 81, 82–83, 102; Bush doctrine with diplomacy and action by, 22–23; taken off high alert, 114, 116
U.S. National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq, 26
U.S. Navy, 87, 90–91, 232n49
U.S. Office of Technology Assessment, 66–67
Vaynman, Jane, 111–12
Velvet Revolution, 13, 192, 198
Von Clausewitz, Karl, 5
Wallerstein, Mitchel, 187–88
Walrond, Christina, 160
W. Alton Jones Foundation, 178–79, 186
Waltz, Christoph, 189
Waltz, Kenneth, 71
wars: George W. Bush, false allegations against Iraq, and, 22, 24, 25–26; In-do-Pakistani, 127, 129; Iraq, Afghanistan, and cost of, 220n14, 230n15
wars, nuclear: casualties, 63–67, 203, 228n8; casualties in South Asian, 68, 132; climate change and, 69–70, 132; consequences of, 51–52, 56, 66, 228n6; false alarms and risk for, 53–57; global, 65–67, 195, 203, 228n8; India, Pakistan, and threat of, 129–33; nuclear winter and, 69–70; regional, 67–68
weapons: strategic, 115, 116–17. See also biological weapons; chemical weapons; missiles; nuclear weapons; specific weapons
weapons of mass destruction (WMD): George W. Bush and false allegations of, 22–23, 24, 26; security of, 124; UN Special Commission on Iraq, 24
West Wing, The, 120–21
WikiLeaks, 113, 165
William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, 176, 189
Wilson, Valerie Plame, 89, 120
Winston Foundation for World Peace, 186, 249n11
WMD. See weapons of mass destruction
Wolfowitz, Paul, 22, 219n6
Wolfsthal, Jon B., 2, 170
Yeltsin, Boris, 53, 55, 56, 103, 222n35
Yugoslavia, 154, 248n32, 248n33
Yun, Philip, 159
Yusuf, Moeed, 137–38, 140, 142–43
Zakaria, Fareed, 168
Zardari, Asif Ali, 71
zero: Global Zero, 56, 92; “The Logic of Zero,” 35, 89; nuclear weapons, 3, 7, 106–7, 111, 186, 205, 207, 211; zero-based targeting, 114
Zhirinovsky, Vladimir, 111
Zinni, Anthony, 166, 185