Contents

Introduction

Part I: The Future Four-told

1 Forward, into the Unknown: why scenario planning?

2 The Theatre of the Future: introducing the four futures

3 Imagine: a world of intelligence

4 Please Please Me: a world of greed

5 Dear Prudence: a world of temperance

6 Helter Skelter: a world of fear

Signs of change: early warning indicators

Part II: Planning Scenarios

7 Futurevision: the role of foresight

8 The Scenario-planning QUEST: introducing the four stages

9 Developing Framing Questions: the first stage

10 Examining the Environmental Influences: the second stage

11 Building Scenario Worlds: the third stage

12 Creating Transformational Strategies: the fourth stage

Fore-gone Conclusions

Epilogue: strategic shocks — ten game-changers for 2040

References and Useful Sources

Acknowledgements