Contents

1. Cover
2. Title Page
3. Copyright
4. Dedication
5. 1. The Blackfish Effect: Twenty-First-Century Political Risk
6. 2. Move Over, Hugo Chávez
7. 3. How We Got Here: Megatrends in Business, Technology, and Politics Since the Cold War
8. 4. Mind Games and Groupthink: Why Good Political Risk Management Is So Hard
9. 5. Moving Beyond Intuition: Our Political Risk Framework
10. 6. The Art of Boat Spotting: Understanding Political Risks
11. 7. Analyzing Risks Like a Physicist
12. 8. The Nuclear Triad, the Empty Plane, and Other Ways to Mitigate Risks
13. 9. Zulu Time: Responding to Crises
14. 10. Strengthening Your Political Risk Muscles
15. Acknowledgments
16. About the Authors
17. Also by Condoleezza Rice
18. Notes
19. Mission Statement
20. Newsletters