Figure 1.1 |
Campaign Contact by Voter Registration, 1952–2004 |
14 |
Figure 3.1 |
Cross-pressured Partisans, 1972–2004 |
71 |
Figure 3.2 |
Cross-pressures on Specific Policy Issues, 1972–2004 |
72 |
Figure 3.3 |
Religious Cleavages in Party Coalitions, 2004 |
75 |
Figure 3.4 |
Economic Cleavages in Party Coalitions, 2004 |
76 |
Figure 3.5 |
Racial Cleavages in Party Coalitions, 2004 |
77 |
Figure 4.1 |
Defection by Policy Cross-pressures, 2000 and 2004 |
84 |
Figure 4.2 |
Campaign Exposure and Impact of Cross-pressures on Predicted Probability of Defection, 2004 |
91 |
Figure 4.3 |
Campaign Exposure and Impact of Cross-pressures on Predicted Probability of Defection, 2000 |
92 |
Figure 4.4 |
Change over Time in Impact of Cross-pressures and Strength of Partisanship on Predicted Probability of Defection, 2000 |
95 |
Figure 4.5 |
Effect of Cross-pressures on Predicted Probability of Vote Transition following Campaign Events |
99 |
Figure 4.6 |
Effect of Cross-pressures on Predicted Probability of Defection following Campaign Events |
100 |
Figure 4.7 |
Cross-pressured Partisans More Persuadable in Survey Experiment |
103 |
Figure 5.1 |
Effect of Racial Cross-pressures on Predicted Probability of Defection, 1960 and 1968 |
128 |
Figure 5.2 |
Attitudes toward School Busing in 1972 and 1976 |
135 |
Figure 5.3 |
Effect of Racial Cross-pressures on Predicted Probability of Defection, 1972 and 1976 |
137 |
Figure 5.4 |
Racial and Moral Issues as Percentage of Campaign News Coverage |
141 |
Figure 5.5 |
Effect of Racial and Moral Cross-pressures on the Predicted Probability of Defection, 1964–2004 |
142 |
Figure 6.1 |
Growth in the Policy Position Taking of Presidential Candidates, 1948–2004 |
148 |
Figure 6.2 |
Voter Information and Party Contact in 2004 |
167 |
Figure 6.3 |
Targeted Issues as a Percentage of Mail Received |
176 |