Secular Cycles by Turchin, Peter -- Read -- Imperial Library of Trantor

Index

Cover Page Title Page Copyright Page Contents Table of Units and Currencies Chapter 1: Introduction: The Theoretical Background

1.1 Development of Ideas about Demographic Cycles 1.2 A Synthetic Theory of Secular Cycles 1.3 Variations and Extensions 1.4 Empirical Approaches

Chapter 2: Medieval England: The Plantagenet Cycle (1150–1485)

2.1 Overview of the Cycle 2.2 The Expansion Phase (1150–1260) 2.3 Stagflation (1260–1315) 2.4 Crisis (1315–1400) 2.5 Depression (1400–1485) 2.6 Conclusion

Chapter 3: Early Modern England: The Tudor-Stuart Cycle (1485–1730)

3.1 Overview of the Cycle 3.2 Expansion (1485–1580) 3.3 Stagflation (1580–1640) 3.4 Crisis (1640–60) 3.5 Depression (1660–1730) 3.6 Conclusion Appendix to Chapter 3

Chapter 4: Medieval France: The Capetian Cycle (1150–1450)

4.1 Overview of the Cycle 4.2 Expansion (1150–1250) 4.3 Stagflation (1250–1315) 4.4 Crisis (1315–65) 4.5 Depression (1365–1450) 4.6 Conclusion: “A Near Perfect Multi-secular Cycle”

Chapter 5: Early Modern France: The Valois Cycle (1450–1660)

5.1 Overview 5.2 Expansion (1450–1520) 5.3 Stagflation (1520–70) 5.4 Crisis (1570–1600) 5.5 A Case Study: The Norman Nobility 5.6 Depression (1600–1660) 5.7 Conclusion

Chapter 6: Rome: The Republican Cycle (350–30 BCE)

6.1 Overview of the Cycle 6.2 An Unusually Long Expansion (350–180 BCE) 6.3 Stagflation (180–130 BCE) 6.4 The Late Republican Crisis (130–30 BCE) 6.5 The End of the Disintegrative Trend 6.6 Conclusion

Chapter 7: Rome: The Principate Cycle (30 BCE–285 CE)

7.1 Overview of the Cycle 7.2 Expansion (27 BCE–96 CE) 7.3 Stagflation (96–165 CE) 7.4 Crisis (165–97 CE) 7.5 Depression (197–285 CE) 7.6 Conclusion

Chapter 8: Russia: The Muscovy Cycle (1460–1620)

8.1 The Fifteenth-Century Crisis 8.2 Expansion (1460–1530) 8.3 Stagflation (1530–65) 8.4 Crisis (1565–1615) 8.5 Conclusion

Chapter 9: Russia: The Romanov Cycle (1620–1922)

9.1 Expansion (1620–1800) 9.2 Stagflation (1800–1905) 9.3 Crisis (1905–22) 9.4 Conclusion

Chapter 10: General Conclusions

10.1 Population Numbers 10.2 Elite Dynamics 10.3 The State 10.4 Sociopolitical Instability 10.5 Are There General Laws of Historical Dynamics?

Acknowledgments References Cited Index