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Index
Cover
Series
Title Page
Copyright
About the Authors
Preface
Why This Book
Structure of the Book
Valuation Spreadsheet
Acknowledgments
Part One: Foundations of Value
1: Why Value Value?
What Does It Mean to Create Shareholder Value?
Can Stakeholder Interests Be Reconciled?
Shareholder Capitalism Cannot Solve All Social Issues
Consequences of Forgetting Value-Creation Principles
Short-Termism Runs Deep
This Book
Review Questions
Notes
2: Fundamental Principles of Value Creation
The Relationship of Growth, ROIC, and Cash Flow
Balancing ROIC and Growth to Create Value
Real-World Examples
Managerial Implications
Economic Profit Combines ROIC and Size
The Math of Value Creation
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
3: Conservation of Value and the Role of Risk
Conservation of Value
Risk and Value Creation
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
4: The Alchemy of Stock Market Performance
Why Shareholder Expectations Become a Treadmill
Real-World Effects of the Expectations Treadmill
Decomposing TRS
Understanding Expectations
Managerial Implications
Review Questions
Notes
5: The Stock Market Is Smarter Than You Think
Markets and Fundamentals: A Model
Markets and Fundamentals: The Evidence
What about Earnings?
Earnings Management
Diversification and the Conglomerate Discount
Size and Value
Market Mechanics Don't Matter
Value Creation Is More Important than Value Distribution
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
6: Return on Invested Capital
What Drives ROIC?
Competitive Advantage
Sustainability of Return on Invested Capital
An Empirical Analysis of Returns on Invested Capital
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
7: Growth
Drivers of Revenue Growth
Growth and Value Creation
Why Sustaining Growth Is Hard
Empirical Analysis of Corporate Growth
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
Part Two: Core Valuation Techniques
8: Frameworks for Valuation
Enterprise Discounted Cash Flow Model
Economic-Profit-Based Valuation Models
Adjusted Present Value Model
Capital Cash Flow Model
Cash-Flow-to-Equity Valuation Model
Other Approaches to Discounted Cash Flow
Alternatives to Discounted Cash Flow
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
9: Reorganizing the Financial Statements
Reorganizing the Accounting Statements: Key Concepts
Reorganizing the Accounting Statements: In Practice
Advanced Issues
Review Questions
Notes
10: Analyzing Performance
Analyzing Returns on Invested Capital
Analyzing Revenue Growth
Credit Health and Capital Structure
General Considerations
Review Questions
Notes
11: Forecasting Performance
Determine the Forecast's Length and Detail
Components of a Good Model
Mechanics of Forecasting
Additional Issues
Review Questions
Notes
12: Estimating Continuing Value
Recommended Formula for DCF Valuation
Continuing Value Using Economic Profit
Subtleties of Continuing Value
Common Pitfalls
Evaluating Other Approaches to Continuing Value
Advanced Formulas for Continuing Value
Closing Thoughts
Review Questions
Notes
13: Estimating the Cost of Capital
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Estimating the Cost of Equity
Estimating the After-Tax Cost of Debt
Using Target Weights to Determine the Cost of Capital
Complex Capital Structures
Closing Thoughts
Review Questions
Notes
14: Moving from Enterprise Value to Value per Share
Valuing Nonoperating Assets
Valuing Debt and Debt Equivalents
Valuing Hybrid Securities and Noncontrolling Interests
Estimating Value per Share
Review Questions
Notes
15: Analyzing the Results
Validating the Model
Sensitivity Analysis
Creating Scenarios
The Art of Valuation
Review Questions
Notes
16: Using Multiples
Value Multibusiness Companies as a Sum of Their Parts
Use Forward Earnings Estimates
Use Net Enterprise Value Divided by Adjusted EBITA or NOPLAT
Adjust for Nonoperating Items
Use the Right Peer Group
Alternative Multiples
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
17: Valuation by Parts
Valuing by Parts: Mechanics and Insights
Building Business Unit Financial Statements
Cost of Capital
Testing the Value Based on Multiples of Peers
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
Part Three: Advanced Valuation Techniques
18: Taxes
Operating Taxes on the Reorganized Income Statement
Converting Operating Taxes to Operating Cash Taxes
Deferred Taxes on the Reorganized Balance Sheet
Valuing Deferred Taxes
Closing Thoughts
Review Questions
Notes
19: Nonoperating Items, Provisions, and Reserves
Nonoperating Expenses and One-Time Charges
Provisions and Their Corresponding Reserves
Closing Thoughts
Review Questions
Notes
20: Leases and Retirement Obligations
Operating Leases
Securitized Receivables
Pensions and Other Retirement Benefits
Closing Thoughts
Review Questions
Notes
21: Alternative Ways to Measure Return on Capital
Value-Based Returns on Capital: ROIC and CFROI
Capitalizing Expensed Investments
When Businesses Need Little or No Capital
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
22: Inflation
Inflation Leads to Lower Value Creation
Historical Analysis in Times of High Inflation
Financial Projections in Real and Nominal Terms
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
23: Cross-Border Valuation
Forecasting Cash Flows
Estimating the Cost of Capital
Incorporating Foreign-Currency Risk in the Valuation
Using Translated Foreign-Currency Financial Statements
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
24: Case Study: Heineken
Reorganizing Financial Statements
Analyzing Historical Performance
Forecasting Performance
Estimating Cost of Capital
Estimating Continuing Value
Calculating and Interpreting Results
Notes
Part Four: Managing for Value
25: Corporate Portfolio Strategy
What Makes an Owner the Best
The Best-Owner Life Cycle
Dynamic Portfolio Management
The Myth of Diversification
Constructing the Portfolio
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
26: Performance Management
Adopting a Granular Perspective
Choosing the Right Metrics
Organizational Support
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
27: Mergers and Acquisitions
Value Creation Framework
Empirical Results
Archetypes for Value-Creating Acquisitions
More Difficult Strategies for Creating Value from Acquisitions
Estimating Operating Improvements
How to Pay: In Cash or in Stock?
Focus on Value Creation, Not Accounting
Characteristics of Better Acquirers
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
28: Divestitures
Value Creation from Divestitures
Why Executives Shy Away from Divestitures
Assessing Potential Value from Divestitures
Deciding on Transaction Type
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
29: Capital Structure, Dividends, and Share Repurchases
A Practical Framework
Setting a Target Capital Structure
Deciding on Payout and Financing
Creating Value from Financial Engineering
A Comprehensive Case Example
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
30: Investor Communications
Objectives of Investor Communications
Intrinsic Value vs. Market Value
Which Investors Matter?
Communicating with Intrinsic Investors
Listening to Investors
Earnings Guidance
Meeting Consensus Earnings Forecasts
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
Part Five: Special Situations
31: Emerging Markets
Historical Analysis
Forecasting Cash Flows
Incorporating Country Risk in Scenario DCF Valuation
Estimating Cost of Capital in Emerging Markets
Calculating and Interpreting Results
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
32: Valuing High-Growth Companies
A Valuation Process for High-Growth Companies
Uncertainty Is Here to Stay
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
33: Cyclical Companies
Share Price Behavior
An Approach to Valuing Cyclical Companies
Implications for Managing Cyclical Companies
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
34: Banks
Economics of Banking
Principles of Bank Valuation
Complications in Bank Valuations
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
35: Flexibility
Uncertainty, Flexibility, and Value
Managing Flexibility
Methods for Valuing Flexibility
Four Steps to Valuing Flexibility
Real-Option Valuation and Decision Tree Analysis: A Numerical Example
Summary
Review Questions
Notes
Appendix A: Discounted Economic Profit Equals Discounted Free Cash Flow
Proof Using Perpetuities
Generalized Proof
Note
Appendix B: Derivation of Free Cash Flow, Weighted Average Cost of Capital, and Adjusted Present Value
Enterprise Discounted Cash Flow
Adjusted Present Value
Notes
Appendix C: Levering and Unlevering the Cost of Equity
Unlevered Cost of Equity
Levered Cost of Equity
Levered Beta
Appendix D: Leverage and the Price-to-Earnings Multiple
Step 1: Defining Unlevered P/E
Step 2: Linking Net Income to NOPLAT
Step 3: Deriving Levered P/E
Appendix E: Other Capital Structure Issues
Pecking-Order Theory
Market-Based Rating Approach
Leverage, Coverage, and Solvency
Notes
Appendix F: Technical Issues in Estimating the Market Risk Premium
Notes
Index
EULA
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