CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION: Planning for the Plans to Change

CHAPTER 1: Conceiving the Grand Strategy

Operation Mulberry, iTunes as a Can Opener, and the Seeds of Evolution

CHAPTER 2: Choosing Your Problems

A Concept Called the Facebook, Solving the Health Care Crisis, Dying of a Theory, and the Principle of Problems

CHAPTER 3: Making a Tactical Inventory

A Successful Failure, the Fat Man and Little Boy, and the Principle of Solutions

CHAPTER 4: Selecting Your Battlefield

Circus of the Sun, Von Clausewitz, Positioning, and the Principle of Force

CHAPTER 5: Aligning Your Strategy and Tactics

Ten Thousand Empty Stores, the Mother and Child Reunion, and the Principle of Concurrent Thinking

CHAPTER 6: Setting Your Goals

The IBM 360, a Roman Longship, and the Principle of Cascading Objectives

CHAPTER 7: Writing Plan A

Ernest Hemingway, Writing as Thinking, Ambience Candles, and the Principle of Paper Plans

CHAPTER 8: Forecasting Your Multiple Futures

Memories of the Future, the Hindsight Bias, Minus 148°, and the Principle of Multiple Futures

CHAPTER 9: Reinforcing Success and Abandoning Failure

Beginners Sex, the Slippery Slope, the Winner’s Bias, and the Principle of Doubt

CHAPTER 10. Managing by Metrics

News Feed, Lurking Variables, the Confirmation Bias, and the Principle of Correlation and Causation

CHAPTER 11: Evolving to Plan B

Preferred Capital, the Principle of Tactical Alterations, and the Principle of Strategic Alterations

CHAPTER 12: Creating the Culture

The Lake Wobegon Efxfect, the Illusion of Knowledge, and the Principle of Strategic Debate

CONCLUSION: Plan B as the Fluid Child of Plan A

APPENDIX ONE: The Eleven Principles of Adaptive Management

APPENDIX TWO: The Nine Processes of Adaptive Management

BIBLIOGRAPHY

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

INDEX