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accountability: and Argentine arms transfer scandal (1995), 167; in Arms to Iraq scandal (Belgium), 134–35; in Arms to Iraq scandal (UK), 116–17; and ATT, 152–54; and Belgian regionalism, 134–37; and democracy, 19, 24; domestic mechanisms of, 14–15, 147–50, 154; in Iran-Contra scandal (U.S.), 114, 132–33, 206n62; need for international mechanisms of, 7, 18, 30–31, 43, 138; and NGOs, 107–8, 114, 141; in Rwanda affair (France), 125, 127–29; and scandal, 7–8, 14–15, 18–19, 24, 36–37, 108, 124; in South Africa arms import scandals (2012–2013), 145; in Tanzanian ammunitions factory scandal (Wallonia), 137–38; and transparency, 34–37, 112, 141, 186n52
Affaire Luchaire, l’ (France), 125–26
All-Party Parliamentary Group on International Corporate Responsibility (UK), 118
Al Yamamah arms deals (UK), 78
American Bar Association, 202
American Political Science Association Task Force on U.S. Standing, 182n18
ammunition: production and trade, 48, 106, 137; treaties regarding, 87, 89, 94, 151, 157, 159–61, 165
Anti–Ballistic Missile Treaty, 102
Arms to Africa affair (UK), 118
Arms Trade Treaty (ATT): approval of, 3, 60, 89; and defense industry, 75–82; and human security, 88–89, 156; implementation and compliance with, 10, 152–55; importance of, 6, 44–45; provisions, 10, 48, 88, 139–40; secretariat of, 10, 152
Aussenwirtschaftsgesetz (AWG), 203n25
Bamako Declaration on Illicit Proliferation, Circulation, and Brokering of SALW (Organization of African Unity, 2000), 160
Belgium: and accountability, 135, 137; arms export policies, 80–81, 98–99, 133–34, 137; arms exports to conflict zones, 134–37, 207n78; and ATT, 12, 99, 191n38; defense industry, 80–81, 99; and domestic reputation, 137; and dual-use technology, 136; and economic factors, 136, 142; and EU Code of Conduct, 12, 133, 135; foreign policy, 81, 135, 137, 199nn70–71; and human rights, 99, 134, 136; and human security, 136; and international reputation, 98–100; and landmine ban, 98–99; as major arms supplier, 12, 74; and NGOs, 98–99, 111, 113, 133–34, 136–37, 206n71; public opinion, 109, 113, 134–37; regionalism of arms trade, 80–81, 98–99, 113, 133, 135–37, 195n20, 199n70; and scandal, 32, 107, 111, 133–37; and transparency, 80, 111, 113, 133–37; and UNPOA, 12
Berlin Information-Center for Transatlantic Security, 120
Biological Weapons Convention, 102
blinding laser weapons, 158
Bofors Affair (Sweden), 201n4
Boland Amendments (U.S.), 130
Brasilia Declaration of Latin American and Caribbean States (2000), 160
British Aerospace (BAE), 195n14
BUKO Kampagne: Stoppt den Rüstungsexport (Campaign to Stop Arms Exports), 204n40
Campaign Against the Arms Trade (UK), 203n30
Carton de Wiart, Adrian, 50
Center for Defense Information (U.S.), 206n64
Centre for Conflict Resolution (South Africa), 208n9
Centripetalism data set, 170
China: arms embargo against, 85, 123, 125, 208n8; and ATT, 13, 88, 153, 188n2, 209n1; and P5 arms transfer discussions (1991), 58; and sanctions against Syria, 139; and UNPOA, 197n40; and Zimbabwean arms shipments, 1–2, 145
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands (CDU), 122, 124, 204n45
Cingranelli-Richards (CIRI) Human Rights dataset, 210n16
Coalition for Peace in Africa–Action Support Centre, 208n9
COCOM (Coordinating Committee for Multilateral Export Controls, 1949–1994), 52, 58, 157
commitment to international rules and norms: and arms export control policy, 5, 17, 25, 42, 64–72, 104–5, 140–43; and credibility, 21–23; history and data on, 10–13, 21, 65–71, 157–62; and material incentives, 14, 43, 45, 72, 74, 141–42; relationship to compliance, 10–12, 64–65, 72, 140–42, 149, 155; and reputation, 17–19, 24–25, 43, 72, 138, 140, 148–50; theoretical implications, 5–7, 37–43, 147, 185n33, 185n35; and transparency, 36, 72, 186n52
compliance with international rules and norms: and arms export control policy, 5, 17, 34, 42, 64–72, 107–8, 137–38, 140–43; and domestic politics, 107, 138, 149; in IR theory, 5, 37–43, 147–48, 180n5, 185n33, 187n66; and material interest, 137, 192n46; relationship to commitment, 7, 10–12, 140–42; and reputation, 5–7, 14–15, 17–24, 30–34, 72, 104, 110–12, 182n13; and transparency, 30–31, 36–37, 63
conflict zones: arms exports to, 2–3, 10, 60, 62, 112, 121, 130, 139–40, 158–59; internal conflict in, 9, 123, 167–68, 171, 175–78
Congolese Association for Peace and Development, 208n9
Convention Against Torture, 187n66
conventional arms control: difficulties of developing, 2–5, 9, 35; future prospects for, 140–43; reasons for shift toward, 2–3, 9, 17–19, 25, 60–64; treaties and conferences, 157–62
Conventional Arms Transfer (CAT) talks (US–USSR, 1977–1978), 53–54, 158
Convention on Certain Conventional Weapons (CCW, 2003), 158, 161
Convention on Cluster Munitions (2008), 102, 162
Correlates of War data, 171
Declaration of Ayacucho (1974), 157
Defence Export Services Organization (UK), 78
economic interests, 11, 14, 17–18, 38–41, 137, 142, 154; and compliance, 74, 89–90; and policy development, 48, 56–60, 68–69, 71
ECOWAS (Economic Community of West African States) Moratorium on Production and Trade of SALW (1998, 2006), 6, 160–61
epistemic communities, 35
EU (European Union) arms embargo to China, 85, 123, 125
EU (European Union) Code of Conduct on Arms Exports (1998): adoption of, 60, 85, 91, 96–97, 159, 162, 203n37; importance, 6; provisions of, 10, 48, 67, 84–86, 154; and transparency, 35, 47, 112
EU (European Union) Common Position on Arms Exports 2008/944/CFSP (2008), 85, 162
EU (European Union) Council of Ministers, 85
EU (European Union) Joint Action on SALW (1998), 159
EU (European Union) Programme for Preventing and Combating Illicit Trafficking in Conventional Arms (1997), 159
EU (European Union) Strategy to combat illicit accumulation and trafficking of SALW and ammunition (2005), 161
EU (European Union) Working Group on Conventional Arms Exports, 85
Export Credits Guarantee Department (UK), 78
FAR (Forces armées rwandaises, Armed Forces of Rwanda), 126
Federation of American Scientists, 206n64
Federation of German Industry (Bundesverband Deutscher Industrie), 79
Flemish Peace Institute, 206n71
Ford administration (U.S.), 52–53
Foreign Trade and Payments Act (Germany, 1961), 113
France: and accountability, 129; arms export policy, 52, 76–77, 96–97, 113, 121, 128–29, 157, 195n19; and ATT, 12, 45, 77, 96, 109, 191n38; defense industry, 75–76; and earlier arms transfer agreements, 49, 52, 57, 157, 191n33; and EU Code of Conduct and Common Position, 12, 85, 96–98, 197n35, 208n15; foreign intervention, 187n56; foreign policy, 96–97, 199n65–66; and human rights, 97; and international reputation, 85, 96–98, 128; as major arms supplier, 12, 74, 179n7; and multilateralism, 97; and national security, 96; NGOs, 35, 96–98, 109, 111, 124–29, 205n50, 205n56; and P5 arms transfer discussions (1991), 57; and public opinion, 109–10, 113, 128; and scandal, 33, 107, 111, 124–29; and small arms control, 96; strength of state, 110, 128; and transparency, 111, 113, 124–29; and UNPOA, 12, 96
General Act for the Repression of the African Slave Trade (Brussels Act), 189n14
Geneva Arms Traffic Convention (1925), 50, 157
Geneva Conventions (1949), 10
Germany: arms exports to conflict zones, 120–24; and ATT, 12, 45, 80, 191n38; as civilian power, 95, 119, 124, 199n63, 205n48; during Cold War, 188n1; defense industry, 79–80; and EU Code of Conduct, 12, 203n37; foreign policy, 93, 95–96, 119–20, 124; and good international citizenship, 93; human rights and arms exports, 90, 122–24; as major arms supplier, 12, 79–80, 179n7; NGOs, 95, 111, 119–21, 123; public opinion, 94–95, 109, 119–24, 142, 195n17, 204n38, 204n46; and reputation, 93–96; scandals, 32, 107, 111, 119–21; and transparency, 111, 113, 119–21; and UNPOA, 12
Gesetz über die Kontrolle von Kriegswaffen (KWKG), 203n25
good international citizenship: and arms transfer policies, 87–88, 104, 148; concept of, 25; and Germany, 93; and human rights, 74; and reputation, 24, 28, 30, 150; and United Kingdom, 91
Groupe de recherche et d’information sur la paix et la sécurité (Research and Information Group on Peace and Security, Belgium), 206n71
Groupement industriel des armaments terrestres (GIAT, France), 77
Gun Free South Africa, 208n9
human rights, 11, 41–42, 49, 52–56, 58–72, 90, 141–42; and ATT (Arms Trade Treaty), 2, 155; and democracy, 13, 170–71; genocide, 10, 62, 206n63; in IR (international relations) theory, 181n12; and reputation, 148; and scandals, 112; and security, 62–63; and small and major conventional weapons, 9–10; and statistical model, 167–69, 173–78. See also specific countries
Human Security Centre, 169
identity: Brazil, 147; France, 97, 127; Germany, 95, 119, 121, 124, 204n30; national, 8, 14, 18–20, 25–27, 33–35, 71; person or social, 183n22; state, 18, 25, 90, 148, 183n21, 187–88n66; United States, 101
illicit arms trade, 9–10, 188n9; agreements on, 60, 73, 86, 88, 139, 159–62, 197n44; and Belgium, 99, 137; and France, 205n56; and United States, 100
Ingebritsen, Christine, 183n21
Institute for Security Studies (South Africa), 208n9
International Action Network on Small Arms (IANSA), 208n9
International Criminal Court, 102
international law, 13, 15, 23, 32, 35, 126, 182n13, 185n33; and Brazil, 147; and Switzerland, 182n15; and United States, 150–51, 200n81, 201n90
International Peace Information Service, 206n71
International Tracing Instrument, 87
Iraq: arms shipments to, 61, 114–19, 125, 130, 134–35, 141, 185n40; Gulf War (1991), 57–58, 61, 71, 112, 114–19, 141; Iraq War (2000s), 92
Joint Conference Church and Development (Gemeinsame Konferenz Kirche und Entwicklung), 120
Kolodziej, Edward, 76, 113
Labour Party and government (UK): and arms control treaties, 78, 91, 93; and arms exports and industry, 78, 119, 192n39, 194n10; and NGOs, 118, 185n40; and scandal, transparency, and accountability, 113–15, 117–18, 197n35
landmine ban: and arms transfer policy and treaties, 62–63, 90, 98–99, 103, 109, 141, 153, 158–59; defense industry support for, 75–76; and human rights and security, 60, 62–63; NGO role, 35, 109, 158; and public pressure, 40
League of Nations Disarmament Conference (1934), 50–51, 157
legitimacy, 7, 14, 15, 17, 18, 19, 25, 29, 30, 33, 150, 151
liberalism: domestic liberalism, 40–41, 72; neoliberalism, 38–40
licensing of arms exports: and Belgian regionalism, 80–81, 98–99, 134–35, 137; and transparency, 112–13, 115; treaty regulation of, 49–51, 158, 161, 207n72
major conventional weapons (MCW): data on, 46–48, 55–60, 65–71, 142, 163–66, 174–76; definition, 48; and human rights, 9, 48, 55–56, 58–59, 65–71, 142, 175–76, 193–94n55; and internal conflicts, 171; suppliers of, 12, 79, 146, 207n4; and treaties and conferences, 2, 9
Matrix Churchill Ltd. (UK), 115
methodology, 10–15, 163–78; case selection, 11–13; control variables, 173–74; data sources and coding, 163–72; interviews, 171–72, 198n48; NGO classification, 202n21; scandal identification, 202n19; statistical model and analysis, 11, 173–78, 190n26
Missile Technology Control Regime (1987), 158
Mitterrand, Jean-Christophe, 128
monitoring: importance of mechanisms for, 40, 64, 72, 105, 155, 165; and international arms trade, 31, 72, 105, 146, 149, 190n21, 191n33, 204n40; and peer review, 28; and scandal, 19; and transparency, 36
moving-windows (moving-regression) analyses, 67
Nairobi Declaration on Illicit SALW (2000), 160
National Accounts Main Aggregates Database, 170
Network Vlaanderen (Flanders/Belgium), 206n71
New Lachaussee Company (Belgium), 137
Nixon administration (U.S.), 52–53
nongovernmental organizations (NGOs): and accountability, 108–14;arms control advocacy, 9, 34–37, 63, 71, 138, 149; and arms control implementation and compliance, 18, 141–43, 152–53; in Belgium, 98–99, 111, 113, 133–34, 136–37, 206n71; in Brazil, 146–47; classification of in this study, 202n21; and conventional arms control, 35, 120; in France, 96–98, 124–29; in Germany, 95, 111, 119–23; in Israel, 144; landmine conference (1993), 158; and scandal, 7–8, 14–15, 34, 117–19; in South Africa, 145–47; in United Kingdom, 93; in United States, 101–3, 129–33
normative obligation, 27; and arms transfer policy adoption and change, 6–7, 14, 45, 64, 74, 141; and arms transfer policy compliance, 41–42, 65, 142
norm entrepreneurs, 4, 35, 148
norm leadership, 29, 35, 61, 148; Belgium, 98–99; France, 97–98; Germany, 94–95, 198n59; South Africa, 146; United Kingdom, 92–93, 114, 117; United States, 100, 150–51
norm socialization: conditions for, 183n23; investigation of, 4, 147; and policy adoption, 14, 16–17, 38, 149–50; and policy implementation and compliance, 85, 150, 187–88n66
Norton-Taylor, Richard, 116
Nye Committee (U.S. Senate Special Committee on Investigation of the Munitions Industry), 50–51
Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), 83; Document on Small Arms and Light Weapons (2000), 160; Istanbul Summit (1999), 160; Principles Governing Conventional Arms Transfers (1993), 158
Organization of American States (OAS): Convention Against the Illicit Manufacturing and Trafficking of Firearms (1997), 159; Inter-American Convention on Transparency in Conventional Weapons Acquisitions (1999), 160; Landmine Resolution (1996), 158
Oslo Declaration (cluster munitions, 2007), 162
Ottawa Conference Towards a Global Ban on APL (1996), 159. See also landmine ban
Oxfam–Solidarity Belgium, 206n71
P5 (United Nations Security Council Permanent Members) Talks on conventional arms control (1991–1992), 57–58, 61, 100, 158
Panzeraffäre (Germany, 1992), 122
Peace and Security Program (University of Witwatersrand), 208n9
policy–practice gap: and accountability, 154; and Belgian regionalism, 137; and transparency, 31, 108, 123, 146, 184n30; weakness of theoretical explanations for, 11, 14, 42, 70, 72
Preparatory Committee meetings on SALW conference (2000–2001), 160
Presidential Decision Directive 34 (U.S., 1995), 191n34
Presidential Directive 13 (PD-13, U.S., 1977), 53–54
Protocol on the Control of Firearms, Ammunition, and Other Related Materials (Southern African Development Community, 2001), 160
Quilès Commission (France), 127
religious institutions, 1, 120, 146
reputation: and commitment to arms control, 5, 14, 20–21, 30–31, 149–55, 182n13; and compliance, 7, 14, 15, 18, 19, 22–23, 30–31, 32, 34, 72, 110–12, 182n13; corporate, 181n6, 184n29; and credibility, 19–23; definitions of, 7, 19–21, 182n16, 182n18; and domestic politics, 5–7, 14–17, 19–20, 24, 32–37, 110–12, 148–49; and image, 17–20, 25–29, 33, 35–36; as international social incentive, 7–8, 13–14, 17–18, 23–31, 43, 148–55; and material gain, 19, 23, 25, 150, 196n30; personal and social, 183n22; and scandal, 17–19, 23–24, 32–37, 149; shaming, 8, 14, 19, 32, 34–35, 196n28, 208n16; and standing, 7, 17–18, 20, 25–30; theories of, 18–21, 23–25, 38, 147, 149, 180n1, 180n3, 180n5; and transparency, 17–19, 30–34, 182n13
Rwanda affair (France), 124–29
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, 191n38
scandal: definitions of, 19, 32, 185nn37–38, 202n19; and democracy, 7–8, 24; NGO use of, 7–8, 14, 34, 36–37, 111–12, 138, 143; and policy compliance, 17–19, 32, 35, 106–8, 137–38, 140, 149; and public opinion, 15, 32–34, 36–37, 110–12, 143; and reputation, 17–19, 23–24, 32–37, 149; and transparency, 15, 19, 24, 32–33, 36, 138, 143. See also specific countries and scandals
“ship of shame” (China to Zimbabwe, 2008), 1
small arms and light weapons (SALW): data on, 46–48, 55–60, 65–70, 142, 163–67, 174, 177–78; definition, 48; and human rights, 9, 48, 55–56, 58–59, 65–70, 142, 177–78; and internal conflicts, 62, 171; suppliers of, 12, 146; and treaties and conferences, 2, 9–10, 86, 159–61
Small Arms Working Group, Southern African Development Community (1998), 160
sovereignty, 5–6, 16, 39, 44–45, 48–50, 71, 141; and ATT, 25, 102, 155
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (SPD), 122, 204n45
Steinmetz, Christopher, 121
St. Germain Convention for the Control of the Trade in Arms and Ammunition (1919), 49–50, 157
Stoltenberg, Gerhard, 122
terrorism, 92, 125, 130, 139–40, 204n44; September 11 attacks, 70, 102–3; war on terror, 6, 70, 103, 154, 193–94n55
Tiananmen Square (1989), 9
transparency: and accountability, 34–37, 141; and ATT implementation, 15, 152; conditions for, 186n52, 202n20; in defense industry, 203n23; definition, 36; growth of since Cold War, 35–36, 46–47, 58, 61, 63; and policy-practice gap, 31, 108, 123, 146, 184n30; and public opinion, 36–37, 43, 186n52; and reputation, 17–19, 30–34, 182n13; and scandal, 7, 24, 107–8, 110–14, 138, 143; in treaties and conferences, 158–60, 189n19. See also specific countries
Treaty of Rome (1957), 179n5
Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (1990), 158
Treaty on Open Skies (1992), 158
trend-indicator values (TIV), 164–65
Tripartite Declaration (1950), 52, 157
UN Comtrade (customs) data, 47, 165
UN Disarmament Commission guidelines (1996), 159
UN Firearms Protocol (2005), 161
UN General Assembly Resolution 50/70B (1995), 158
UN General Assembly Resolution 54/54V (1997), 159
UN General Assembly Resolution A/61/394 to establish an ATT (2006), 161
UN Institute for Disarmament Research, 184n26
UN International Instrument to Enable States to Identify and Trace, in a Timely and Reliable Manner, Illicit Small Arms and Light Weapons (2005), 161
UN Panel of Governmental Experts on SALW (1996–1997), 159
UN Programme of Action on Small Arms (UNPOA) Review Conference (2006), 161
United Kingdom: and ATT, 45, 78, 191–92n38; defense industry, 77–78; and ethical foreign policy and good international citizenship, 91–93, 117, 192n39; and EU Code of Conduct, 12, 91; and foreign interventions, 187n56; as major arms supplier, 12, 179n7; and P5 arms transfer discussions (1991), 57; public opinion in, 109–10; and reputation, 91–93; scandals, 32, 61, 107, 111, 114–19, 185n40; and transparency, 111–14, 117; and UNPOA, 12
United States: and ATT, 12–13, 45, 82, 88, 151–53, 191–92n38, 207n3; Cold War arms control, 51–54; defense industry, 82; Department of State data, 48, 55, 169, 210n18; and exceptionalism, 102, 142, 201n86; and foreign interventions, 187n56; foreign policy, 201nn88–90; gun ownership laws and rights in, 2, 82, 101–3, 132–33; and human rights, 103, 188n1, 191n34; and landmine ban, 103, 153; as major arms supplier, 11–12, 179n7; and national security, 133; 1976 presidential elections, 52–53, 63, 202n15; Nye Committee and League of Nations Disarmament Conference (1934), 50–51; and Ottawa treaty, 153; and P5 arms transfer discussions (1991), 57; public opinion in, 109; and reputation, 90, 100–104; scandals, 32–33, 111, 129–33; and small arms control and UNPOA, 12, 73, 85, 101, 191n36, 200n84; and South African arms embargo, 190n21; and St. Germain Convention, 50; and Syrian arms shipments, 139; and transparency, 111, 114, 186n47, 188n4
Uppsala/PRIO (Peace Research Institute Oslo) Armed Conflict Dataset, 171
US–USSR Conventional Arms Transfer (CAT) talks (1977–1978), 158
van Cauwenberghe, Jean-Claude, 136
Wassenaar Arrangement on Export Controls for Conventional Arms and Dual-Use Goods and Technologies (1996), 35, 47, 58, 83, 159, 161, 164, 189n19
weapons of mass destruction, 2, 155, 158
Weapons of War Control Act (Germany 1961), 113
World Forum on the Future of Sport Shooting Activity, 200n80, 200n84