Contents

Preface

Acknowledgments

CHAPTER 1 — Hazards and Disasters

1.1   Introduction

1.2   Hazards: Part of the Natural Environment

1.2.1   The Earth’s Dynamic Equilibrium

1.2.2   Types of Natural Hazards

1.2.3   A Note on Extraterrestrial Hazards

1.2.4   Human-Made Hazards

1.3   Hazards and Disasters: Not the Same

1.3.1   An Official Definition of Disaster

1.3.2   Why Are There More and Bigger Disasters?

1.4   The Many Costs of Disasters

1.4.1   Direct Financial Costs

1.4.2   Long-Term Economic Costs

1.4.3   Environmental Costs

1.4.4   Societal Costs

1.4.5   Human Lives Lost: Rich Country, Poor Country

1.4.6   Social Vulnerability

1.5   Impacts of Climate Change on Natural Hazards

1.5.1   Is It Weather or Is It Climate?

1.5.2   Climate Change around the Globe

Summary

Key Terms

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Summary Questions

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CHAPTER 2 — Preparedness, Hazard Mitigation, and Climate Change Adaptation: An Overview

2.1   Introduction

2.2   The Emergency Management Cycle

2.2.1   Preparedness

2.2.2   Federal Preparedness Programs

2.2.3   Hazard Mitigation

2.2.4   The Difference between Preparedness and Mitigation

2.3   Climate Change Adaptation

2.3.1   What Can Be Done?

2.3.2   The Case for Adaptation

2.4   Hazard Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies

2.4.1   Risk Assessment and Mapping

2.4.2   Managing Community Growth and Development

2.5   The Value of Hazard Mitigation and Preparedness

2.5.1   Hazard Mitigation Pays Off

2.6   Sustainability and Disaster Resilience

Chapter Summary

Key Terms

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SECTION I  Introduction

CHAPTER 3 — Meteorological and Hydrological Hazards: Hurricanes, Sea Level Rise, Floods, Drought, Wildfire, Tornadoes, Severe Winter Weather, and Extreme Heat

3.1   Introduction

3.2   Weather-Related Natural Hazards

3.3   Hurricanes

3.3.1   Hurricane Formation

3.3.2   Hurricane Characteristics

3.3.3   Measuring a Hurricane: The Saffir–Simpson Scale

3.3.4   Hurricane Landfall

3.3.5   Hurricanes and Patterns of Human Activity

3.3.6   Impacts of Climate Change on Hurricanes

3.4   Sea Level Rise

3.4.1   Relative Sea Level Rise

3.4.2   Impact of Sea Level Rise on Flooding and Storm Surge

3.4.3   Sea Level Rise and Saltwater Intrusion

3.5   Flooding

3.5.1   Effects of Climate Change on Flooding

3.5.2   Floodplains, River Basins, and Watershed

3.5.3   Types of Flooding

3.5.4   Flood Mapping

3.5.5   Localized Flood Risks

3.6   Drought

3.6.1   Effects of Climate Change on Drought

3.6.2   Impacts of Drought

3.6.3   Drought Monitoring

3.7   Wildfires

3.7.1   Human Management of Wildfire

3.7.2   Measuring Wildfire Risk Conditions

3.8   Tornadoes

3.8.1   Tornado Formation

3.8.2   The Fujita–Pearson Tornado Scale

3.8.3   Tornado Activity in the United States

3.9   Severe Winter Weather

3.9.1   Blizzards

3.9.2   Snowstorms

3.9.3   Freezing Rain

3.9.4   Windchill and Extreme Cold

3.9.5   Effects of Climate Change on Severe Winter Weather

3.9.6   Impacts of Severe Winter Weather

3.10   Extreme Heat

3.10.1   Impacts of Extreme Heat

3.10.2   Urban Heat Island

Summary

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CHAPTER 4 — Geological Hazards: Earthquakes, Tsunamis, Volcanoes, Landslides, Coastal Erosion, and Land Subsidence

4.1   Introduction

4.2   Geological Hazards

4.3   Earthquakes

4.3.1   Stress Release

4.3.2   Tectonic Plate Movement: A Constant Wrestling Match

4.3.3   Earthquake Motion

4.3.4   Aftershocks

4.3.5   Rating Earthquakes: Scales of Magnitude, Intensity, and Acceleration

4.3.6   Earthquake Impacts on People and Property

4.3.7   Earthquake Experience in the United States

4.3.8   Earthquakes: Lessons Learned

4.4   Tsunamis

4.4.1   Fast and Furious

4.4.2   Multiple Waves

4.4.3   Tsunami Impacts

4.4.4   Tsunami Hazards: A Real Risk for the United States

4.4.5   Tsunami Warning Systems

4.4.6   Tsunami Readiness

4.4.7   Impact of Climate Change on Tsunamis

4.5   Volcanoes

4.5.1   Reaching the Boiling Point

4.5.2   Types of Volcanic Eruptions

4.5.3   Volcanic Hot Spots

4.5.4   The Volcano–Earthquake Connection

4.5.5   Types of Volcanic Structures

4.5.6   Impacts of Volcanic Activity on People and Property

4.6   Landslides/Debris Flows

4.6.1   Debris Flows

4.6.2   Landslide Triggers

4.6.3   Landslide Risk Areas

4.7   Coastal Erosion

4.7.1   Shifting Sands, Eroding Bluffs

4.7.2   Erosion Rates

4.7.3   Coastal Inlet Hazard Areas

4.7.4   Effect of Climate Change on Coastal Erosion

4.8   Subsidence and Collapse

4.8.1   Causes of Land Subsidence

4.8.2   Removal of Groundwater

4.8.3   Mine Collapse

4.8.4   Sinkholes

4.9   Human-Caused Geo-Hazards

Summary

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CHAPTER 5 — Human-Made Hazards: Terrorism, Civil Unrest, and Technological Hazards

5.1   Introduction

5.2   The American Experience

5.2.1   The All-Hazards Approach

5.2.2   Significant Human-Made Events in the United States

5.3   Terrorism

5.3.1   Elements of Terrorism

5.3.2   Types of Terrorism

5.3.3   Terrorism Tactics and Weapons

5.3.4   Biological and Chemical Weapons

5.3.5   Impacts of Terrorism

5.3.6   The Role of FEMA

5.4   Civil Unrest

5.4.1   Public Order Events on College and University Campuses

5.4.2   Race Riots

5.5   Mass Shootings

5.5.1   Mass Shooting Patterns

5.5.2   Notable Mass Shooting Events

5.5.3   Lessons Learned

5.6   Technological Hazards

5.6.1   Community Impacts from Technological Hazards

5.6.2   What Makes Hazardous Materials Hazardous?

5.6.3   Symptoms of Toxic Poisoning

5.6.4   Sources of Hazardous Materials

5.6.5   OSHA Safety Data Sheets

5.6.6   HazMat Transportation Accidents

5.6.7   Leaks during Storage and Disposal

5.6.8   Nuclear Accidents

5.6.9   Emergency Planning Zones

5.6.10 HazMat Releases during Natural Hazard Events

5.7   Public Perception of Human-Made Hazards

5.7.1   Media Coverage

5.7.2   Individual Experience

5.7.3   A Range of Strong Responses

5.7.4   Mitigating and Preparing for Human-Made Hazards

Summary

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SECTION II Introduction

CHAPTER 6 — Role of the Federal Government in Disaster Management

6.1   Introduction

6.2   Federal Government Involvement in Hazards Management

6.2.1   Federal Appropriations

6.2.2   Managing Federal Property

6.2.3   Executive Order for Floodplain Management

6.3   Evolution of Emergency Management at the Federal Level

6.3.1   Early Federal Involvement: Limited and Ad Hoc

6.3.2   The 1980s and 1990s: An Explosion of Federal Aid

6.3.3   Project Impact

6.3.4   The Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000

6.3.5   The Threat of Terrorism Initiates Major Agency Reorganization

6.3.6   Hurricane Katrina: Spurring Change within the Federal Government

6.3.7   Presidential Policy Directive 8: National Preparedness

6.4   Federal Hazard Mitigation Programs

6.4.1   The Role of FEMA

6.4.2   The National Flood Insurance Program

6.4.3   The Community Rating System

6.4.4   Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000

6.4.5   Hazard Mitigation Assistance Grant Programs

6.4.6   The National Hurricane Program

6.4.7   National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program

6.4.8   Community Development Block Grants

6.4.9   Coastal Barrier Resources Act

6.5   Federal Programs That Indirectly Manage Hazard Impacts

6.5.1   Clean Water Act

6.5.2   The Coastal Zone Management Act

6.5.3   The National Environmental Policy Act

6.6   Reducing Risk by Understanding and Adapting to Climate Change

6.6.1   U. S. Global Change Research Program

6.6.2   President’s Climate Action Plan

6.6.3   Department of Defense Climate Change Adaptation Roadmap

6.6.4   Environmental Protection Agency Climate Change Adaptation Programs

6.6.5   National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

6.6.6   USDA Regional Climate Hubs

6.7   Driving with the Brakes On: Federal Incentives for Development in Hazard Areas

6.7.1   The Internal Revenue Code as a De Facto Management Tool

6.7.2   Federal Infrastructure Programs

6.7.3   U. S. Army Corps of Engineers

6.8   Federal Disaster Assistance: Creating a Moral Hazard?

6.8.1   Federal Subsidies of Hazard Risks

6.8.2   Subsidizing Risk through Mitigation Programs

6.9   Posing Solutions That Lead to More Questions

6.9.1   Break the Cycle by Reducing Federal Disaster Dollars

6.9.2   Make New Development Pay for Its Safety

6.9.3   Federal Dollars for Permanent Solutions

Summary

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CHAPTER 7 — Mitigating Hazards at the State Level: Divergent Views and Outcomes

7.1   Introduction

7.2   Overview of Divergent Approaches to Hazards Management

7.2.1   Role of State Agencies in Hazards Management

7.3   State Emergency Management

7.3.1   The State Hazard Mitigation Officer

7.3.2   Funding for State Hazard Mitigation and Preparedness Activities

7.3.3   Effectiveness of State Hazards Management

7.4   Hazard Mitigation Planning at the State Level

7.4.1   Mitigation Planning under the Disaster Mitigation Act of 2000

7.4.2   Consequences of Not Preparing a State Hazard Mitigation Plan

7.5   Climate Change Adaptation Planning at the State Level

7.6   State Mandates for Local Land Use Planning

7.7   State Regulation of Environmentally Sensitive Areas

7.7.1   Regulatory Setbacks

7.7.2   Post-Storm Reconstruction

7.7.3   State Wetland Protection

7.8   State Provision of Infrastructure

7.9   State Building Codes

7.9.1   Freeboard Requirements in State Building Codes

7.9.2   State Approaches to Building Codes

7.9.3   Building Code Updates

7.9.4   Building Code Enforcement

7.9.5   State Support for Local Code Enforcement

7.10 State Regulation of Hazard Insurance

7.10.1 Insuring Catastrophic Losses

7.10.2 State Insurance Regulation

7.11 Increasing State Mitigation Capabilities

7.11.1 Developing Partnerships with Multiple Stakeholders

7.11.2 Expanding Hazard Mitigation Coverage

Summary

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CHAPTER 8 — Local Government Powers: Building Resilience from the Ground Up

8.1   Introduction

8.2   Why Focus on Local Government?

8.2.1   Characteristics of a Resilient Community

8.2.2   Unsustainable Land Uses Lead to Vulnerability

8.2.3   Local Solutions for Increasing Resiliency

8.2.4   A Duty to Act

8.3   Local Authority: Exercising the Police Power

8.3.1   Limits on the Police Power

8.4   Conflicting and Complementary Interests at the Local Level

8.4.1   Economic Pressures on Local Governments

8.5   Local Government Powers to Manage Growth and Development in Hazard Areas: “RATES”

8.5.1   Using the Power of Regulation to Mitigate the Impacts of Hazards

8.5.2   Using the Power of Acquisition to Mitigate the Impacts of Hazards

8.5.3   Using the Power of Taxation and Fees to Mitigate the Impacts of Hazards

8.5.4   Using the Power of Spending to Mitigate the Impacts of Hazards

8.5.5   Using the Power of Education for Mitigation, Preparedness, and Climate Change Adaptation

8.5.6   Local Government Planning

8.6   Local Government Structure

8.6.1   Types of Local Government

8.6.2   Regional Governance

8.7   Making It Happen: Political Will

Summary

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CHAPTER 9 — Community Resilience and the Private Sector

9.1   Introduction

9.2   Resilient Economies, Resilient Communities

9.2.1   Private Land Ownership

9.2.2   Community Resilience Depends on Business Resilience

9.3   Private Land Ownership in the United States

9.3.1   Location, Location, Location

9.3.2   The Role of Developers and Investors

9.3.3   Public Sector Actions Influence Private Sector Decisions

9.4   Economic Resiliency: Protecting Business from Hazards

9.4.1   Economic Impacts of Natural Hazards

9.4.2   Community Resilience Depends on Business Resilience

9.5   Business Risk Assessment and Impact Analysis

9.5.1   Types of Business Protection Plans

9.5.2   Business Risk Assessment

9.5.3   Hazard Identification

9.5.4   Vulnerability Assessment

9.5.5   Business Impact Analysis

9.6   Preparing a Plan to Minimize Losses

9.6.1   Business Property Protection

9.6.2   Business Contingency Planning

9.6.3   Preparing a Business Relocation Plan

9.6.4   Protecting Employees and Their Families

9.6.5   Business Protection through Insurance

9.7   Private Sector Participation in Community Mitigation

9.7.1   Using Incentives to Promote Community Resilience

9.7.2   Private Insurance Participation in Community Mitigation

Summary

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SECTION III Introduction

CHAPTER 10 — Risk Assessment: Identifying Hazards and Assessing Vulnerability

10.1   Introduction

10.2   The Purpose of a Risk Assessment

10.3   Steps in the Risk Assessment Process

10.3.1   Mapping and Data Collection

10.3.2   Data Quality: Using the “Best Available”

10.3.3   Creating a Base Map

10.4   Risk Assessment Step One: Identifying Hazards

10.4.1   Finding the Information

10.4.2   Finding Information on Human-Made Hazards

10.5   Risk Assessment Step Two: Profiling Hazards

10.5.1   Creating a Hazard History

10.5.2   Identifying the Extent of Each Hazard

10.5.3   Determining the Probability of Each Hazard

10.5.4   Identifying the Location of Each Hazard

10.5.5   Profiling Climate Change Impacts

10.5.6   Profiling Human-Made Hazards

10.5.7   Completing Steps One and Two

10.6   Risk Assessment Step Three: Inventorying Vulnerable Assets and Populations

10.6.1   Tasks in Step Three

10.6.2   Sources of Information

10.6.3   Task One: Inventorying Assets and Populations in the Community

10.6.4   Task Three: Calculating the Proportion of Assets Located in Hazard Areas

10.6.5   Inventorying Assets for Intentional Human-Made Hazards

10.6.6   Mapping Assets and Populations

10.7   Risk Assessment Step Four: Estimating Potential Losses

10.7.1   Calculating Human Losses

10.8   Risk Assessment Step Five: Describing Future Land Use and Development Trends

10.8.1   Describing Undeveloped Areas

10.8.2   Describing Scheduled Infrastructure Areas

10.8.3   Determining Where Undeveloped Areas Intersect with Hazardous Areas

10.9   Risk Assessment Step Six: Forming Conclusions (Determining “Acceptable Risk”)

10.9.1   Each Community Must Decide for Itself

10.9.2   Creating a Hazard Mitigation Plan Based on the Risk Assessment

10.9.3   Dealing with Uncertainty

10.10 Hazard City

10.10.1 Welcome to Hazard City, United States

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CHAPTER 11 — Preparedness Activities: Planning to Be Ready When Disaster Hits

11.1   Introduction

11.2   Preparedness in a Nutshell

11.2.1   The Role of Preparedness in Comprehensive Emergency Management

11.2.2   Preparedness for a Changing Climate

11.3   Preparedness Is Everyone’s Responsibility

11.3.1   Federal Coordination of Preparedness Activities

11.3.2   Key Federal Preparedness Resources

11.3.3   State Level Preparedness

11.3.4   Local Preparedness

11.3.5   Families and Individuals

11.3.6   Business and Commercial Preparedness

11.3.7   Bringing It All Together: Highlight on Evacuation

11.4   Preparedness Programs

11.4.1   Volunteer Programs

11.4.2   Education and Training Programs

11.4.3   Exercise Programs

Summary

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CHAPTER 12 — Hazard Mitigation Activities: Creating Strategies to Reduce Vulnerability

12.1   Introduction

12.2   Types of Mitigation Tools and Techniques

12.2.1   Choosing the Right Mitigation Strategy to Fit the Problem

12.2.2   Using Hazard Mitigation to Prepare for Climate Change

12.3   Mitigation through Engineering Projects

12.3.1   Disadvantages of Structural Engineered Mitigation Projects

12.3.2   Dams and Reservoirs

12.3.3   Dikes, Levees, Floodwalls, and Berms

12.3.4   Reducing Coastal Hazard Impacts through Structural Engineered Projects

12.4   Stormwater Management Systems

12.4.1   Building Drainage Systems with Adequate Capacity

12.4.2   Drain System Maintenance

12.4.3   Nontraditional Stormwater Management

12.5   Mitigation through Prevention

12.5.1   Acquisition and Relocation

12.5.2   Land Use Regulation

12.5.3   Setback Regulations

12.5.4   Capital Improvement Programming

12.6   Mitigation through Property Protection

12.6.1   Strengthening Buildings and Facilities

12.6.2   Building Codes: Requiring and Enforcing Safe Construction

12.6.3   Other Municipal Improvements

12.7   Mitigation through Natural Resource Protection

12.7.1   Preserving Wetlands

12.7.2   Soil Conservation and Steep Slope Preservation

12.8   Mitigation through Public Information

12.8.1   Hazard Mapping

12.8.2   Real Estate Disclosure Laws

12.8.3   Disaster Warning

12.8.4   Community Awareness Campaigns

12.9   Mitigation Funding

12.9.1   State and Federal Funding Sources

12.9.2   Combining Mitigation with Other Goals

12.9.3   Finding Matching Funds

12.9.4   Finding Mitigation Funds at Home

12.10 Mitigation Strategies for Human-Made Hazards

12.11 Putting It All Together: Local Mitigation Planning

12.11.1 Determine the Planning Area and Resources

12.11.2 Build the Planning Team

12.11.3 Create an Outreach Strategy

12.11.4 Review Community Capabilities

12.11.5 Conduct a Risk Assessment

12.11.6 Develop a Mitigation Strategy

12.11.7 Keep the Plan Current

12.11.8 Review and Adopt the Plan

12.11.9 Create a Safe and Resilient Community

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SECTION IV Introduction

CHAPTER 13 — Disaster Resilience: Living with Our Environment

13.1   Introduction

13.2   Embracing Disaster Resilience

13.2.1   Investing in Our Future

13.2.2   Resilience Defined

13.3   Resilience is Everyone’s Responsibility

13.3.1   The Art of Emergency Management

13.3.2   Risk Communication: Getting the Message Across

13.3.3   Individual Responsibility: Resilience from the Bottom Up

13.3.4   Building a “Whole Community” Coalition

13.4   Knowing Our Environment

13.4.1   U.S. Census

13.4.2   HAZUS

13.4.3   Disaster Data

13.4.4   National Climate Assessment

13.4.5   Climate Data Initiative

13.4.6   Digital Coast

13.4.7   Local Mitigation Planning

13.4.8   Ready.gov

13.4.9   State Hazard Mitigation Officers

13.4.10 State Climatologists

13.5   Determining an Acceptable Level of Risk

13.5.1   Setting the Limit of Acceptable Risk: A Visit to the Netherlands

13.5.2   What Does It Take to Have Such a High Threshold?

13.6   Implementing Strategies that Promote Resilience

13.6.1   Using Land Wisely

13.6.2   Green Infrastructure

13.6.3   Incorporating Future Build-Out into Flood Risk Determinations

13.6.4   No Adverse Impact: A Do No Harm Policy

13.7   Pre- and Post-Disaster Opportunities for Redevelopment

13.7.1   Post-Disaster Redevelopment

13.7.2   Examples of Resilient Redevelopment

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Index