Index

Aaron, Hank, xxiv, xlii, 258, 327

Abreu, Bobby, 344

Adair, Robert K., 296, 297, 298, 299, 403n

Adaptability, 269–270

Adjusted Runs Prevented (ARP), 63, 71, 282

Age, 250, 399n; adjustment for, 258, 264, 334, 377n; performance and, 264, 267, 377n

“Age-Twenty-Seven Peak” theory, 262

Aldridge, Arthur F., 111

Allen, Erik, 92

Allen, John, 207, 208

Alou, Felipe, 39

Alou, Moises, 19, 307, 323

Altitude, playing at, 248, 293, 296

Alvarez, Wilson, 278

American League, strength of, xxvii, 376n, 377n

Anaheim Angels: payroll of, 274, 319; revenue for, 309; stadium and, 212

Analysis, human perception and, 96, 97

Anderson, Brady, 247

Anderson, Sparky, 22, 139, 149, 379n

Angel Stadium of Anaheim/Edison Field, rating for, 388n

Anheuser-Busch, St. Louis Cardinals and, 175

AOL Time Warner, Atlanta Braves and, 175, 311, 388n

Appier, Kevin, 85, 86, 204, 319

Arizona Diamondbacks: payroll of, 274, 318–319; stadium for, 218

Armas, Tony, 33

Arroyo, Bronson, 321

Ash, Gord, 285

Atkins, Garrett, 3

Atkinson, David, 299

Atlanta Braves, 140; dynasty of, 310–311; free agents and, 311; media revenue for, 186; ownership of, 175, 311, 388n; payroll of, 314; postseason and, 231

Attendance, 178, 309; revenue from, 179–181; stadiums and, 179, 211

Aurilia, Rich, 38

Average-based value system, 170

AVG. See Batting average

Azocar, Oscar, 255

Baade, Robert, 217, 220, 223

BABIP. See Batting average on balls in play

Backup performance, positional average and, 165 (fig.)

Bagwell, Jeff, 205, 301

Baines, Harold, 22, 23, 238

Baker, Dusty, 39, 145–146, 148, 154

Balance, importance of, 266–271

Balanced Era, Power Spikes during, 329

Balboni, Steve, 255

BALCO, 326, 327

Ballpark at Arlington, 174, 196

Balls in play, Colorado park effects for, 301 (table)

Bane, Eddie, 373

Bank One Ballpark, 218

Baseball Lineup Order Optimization Program (BLOOP), 36–37

Baserunners, 9, 113; additional wins and, 121; difference between, 126; sacrificing by, 120

Baserunning, xlii, 34; break-even success rates with, 122; effect of, 120; evaluating, 121–126; following batters and, 117; green light for, 142; stolen bases and, 116, 117, 119; WinEx and, 379n

Batista, Miguel, 84

Batista, Tony: VORP of, 9–10

Batting: early-/late-season improvement of, 149 (fig.); randomness of, 346; within standard deviations/notable pitchers, 347 (table)

Batting average (AVG), xiv, xv, xix, 37, 146, 202, 255, 256; batting eye and, 268; distribution of, 346; EqA and, xxvi; handedness and, 348; information from, 6, 7; OBP and, 96–97, 386n; park factor and, 294, 295; performance and, 5, 259; playing time and, 158, 375n; postseason success and, 363; pre–/post–World War II draft, xxvi (table); problems with, 4–5; replacement-level, 164; standard deviation on, 345, 375n; steroids and, 335, 335 (table), 341; strikeouts and, 260, 261, 410n

Batting average on balls in play (BABIP), 54, 55, 57, 300, 301

Batting average players: aging patterns of, 268 (fig.), 269 (fig.); performance of, 260 (table)

Batting average + batting eye players, aging patterns of, 269 (fig.)

Batting average + power hitting players, aging patterns of, 268 (fig.)

Batting eye, 33, 268, 402n; aging patterns of, 269 (fig.)

Batting eye + power hitters, aging patterns of, 269 (fig.)

Batting order, 2–3, 36, 37, 41, 46

Batting Runs Above Replacement (BRAR), xxix, xxxvii, 159

Bauman, Mike, 104

Beane, Billy, 95, 200, 349, 350, 353, 355, 367, 372; baseball man and, 370; drafting and, 240; Lewis and, 371; market inefficiencies and, 171; relief pitching/defense and, 368; trades by, 311

Bedrosian, Steve, 59

Beinfest, Larry, 320, 324

Bell, Derek, 212

Belle, Albert, 264

Bellhorn, Mark, 321

Beltran, Carlos, 115, 230, 395n

Beltre, Adrian, 196, 199, 200–201, 206, 284, 395n

Bench, Johnny, 100, 204

Benes, Andy, 109, 110

Bennett, Gary, 107, 108

Berry, Mike, 242–243, 247, 249, 250

Betemit, Wilson, 311

Bichette, Dante, 303–304

Biggio, Craig, 4, 100

Bloomberg, Michael, 226

Bochy, Bruce, 158

Boggs, Wade, 140, 152

Bonderman, Jeremy, 50

Bonds, Barry, 212, 222, 224, 233, 236, 312, 332, 333, 343–344; accomplishments of, xvii–xviii, 326; ballpark factors for, xx (table), 375n; baserunning by, xi, xlii, 206; batters following, 39 (table), 45, 46; BRAR of, xxxvii–xxxviii (table); career runs above replacement of, xli (fig.); career stats of, xviii (table); contract of, 205–206; EqA of, xxvii, xxxvii; FRAA of, xl; FRAR of, xl, xxix, xxix–xl (table); home runs for, xlii, 206; MLVr and, 7; MVP for, 205, 206; 1916 estimate for, xxxv (table); normalized AVG/OBP/SLG for, xxi–xxii (table); PAs/baserunner/out situation for, 40, 40 (fig.); pitching to, 39–40, 44; protecting, 38–39, 44, 45; and Ruth compared, x, xvii–xviii, xx, xxx, xxxiv, xxviii–xxix; steroids and, xlii, 327, 335, 341, 342, 404n; VORP of, 206; WARP of, 206; WinEx and, 22

Bonilla, Bobby, 307, 323

Bonser, Boof, 312

Boone, Aaron, 14, 102, 127, 128, 134, 137–138

Boone, Bob, 85

Boras, Scott, 199, 239

Boston Red Sox, 127, 373; market size of, 178; new stadium for, 222; OPS by, 293; payroll of, 274, 320–321; Smallball and, 353–354; tickets for, 179

Bouton, Jim, 145

Bradley, Milton, 284

Brazoban, Yhency, 283

Brett, George, 27, 158; performance of, 270, 270 (table)

Brett, Ken, 270

Brock, Lou, 112

Brookens, Tom, 89

Brooks, Hubie, 33

Brosius, Scott, 102, 315, 316, 317

Broun, Heywood, 155

Broussard, Ben, 127, 128, 129, 386n

Brown, Kevin, 277, 283, 284, 306, 323

Buchanan, Brian, 316

Buckner, Bill, 14

Bullpen, 152, 387n; four-man rotation and, 85; managerial influence on, 141; quality of, 79, 145; using, 50, 88, 144, 151, 168

Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), 178, 389n

Burnitz, Jeromy, 89

Burroughs, Jeff, 238, 257

Busch Stadium, and Coors Field compared, 302, 303

Bushong, A. J., 111

Bustabad, Juan, 369

Cabrera, Miguel, 320

Cabrera, Orlando, 321

Calero, Kiki, 151

Camden Yards, 211, 217, 223, 226; honeymoon period for, 218

Caminiti, Ken, 340

Candlestick Park, xx, 224; rating for, 388–389n

Cangelosi, John, 307

Canseco, Jose, 91, 285, 340

Canseco Era, Power Spikes during, 329

Career paths, 262–266; average player, by EqR, 263 (fig.); by player type/EqR, 265 (fig.)

Carew, Rod, 118, 385n

Carroll, Clay, 59

Carroll, Will, 338, 404n

Carter, Joe: career totals of, 8 (table); clutch hitting by, 4, 14; RBI chances of, 4, 8, 9; VORP of, 10, 284

Cash, Norm, 247

Castilla, Vinny, 233

Castillo, Luis, 38, 121, 307, 323

Catchers: defensive abilities of, 108, 110; game-calling abilities of, 106, 107, 109, 111; pitchers and, 105, 108–109, 111; quotations on, 111

Catcher’s ERA (CERA), 106

Caught stealing, xlii, 113, 114, 115, 116; extra base and, 119; extra outs from, 122

Cedeño, Roger, 89

Cedeño, Ronny, 146

Cey, Ron, 257

Chadwick, Henry, ix, 273

Chapin, Tim, 217

Charlton, Norm, 367

Chavez, Endy, 85

Chavez, Eric, 311, 348, 367

Chesbro, Jack, 75

Chicago Cubs: market size of, 178; media revenue for, 186

Chicago White Sox, 127, 220; market size of, 178; payroll of, 274, 321; VORP of, 321–322

Christensen, Walter “Cuckoo,” 285

Cincinnati Reds: pitching of, 285–286; postseason and, 191

Cinergy Field, rating for, 389n

Citizens Bank Park, rating for, 389n

Clark, Will, 254

Clayton, Royce, 33

Clemens, Roger, xxxi, 272–273, 284, 285, 316–317, 346; Cy Young Award for, 48; injuries for, 273; SNLVAR of, 52; VORP of, xiv

Clemente, Roberto, 259

Cleveland Indians, 137, 138, 307; hitting by, 293; revenue for, 175–176, 181–182; stadium for, 221; turnaround for, 127; WinEx for, 131

Closers, 59, 410n; appearances of, 60 (table); postseason and, 365; regular season and, 365; usage strategy for, 65, 68–73; WXRL of, 363, 365. See also Relievers

Club seats, 213, 222, 392n; revenue from, 175, 182–183, 189; team quality and, 182, 183

Clutch hitting, xvii, 19, 22, 24, 25, 27, 31, 33, 34, 381–382n; best/worst, 32–33 (table); importance of, 14–16; testing questions about, 28–29

Clutch rating, 27, 28 (table), 29, 29 (fig.), 33, 381n; best/worst, 30, 30–31 (table); determining, 25; league/park effects and, 33

Clutch scores, 26 (table), 27, 27, 381n

Clutch situations, 19, 25, 34; cleanup hitters and, 24; WinEx and, 382n; by win probability, 18 (table)

Clyde, David, 239

Coates, Dennis, 217

Cobb, Ty, 243

Cochrane, Mickey, 111

Coleman, Vince, 120, 268, 271

Collective Bargaining Agreement, 176, 187, 228, 395n, 397n

College players: drafting, 236, 237, 237 (table), 240; high school players and, 237–238; WARP of, 238, 239 (table)

Colon, Bartolo, 320

Colorado Rockies: AVG/home and road, 294; defense of, 294 (table); offense of, 294 (table); OPS of, 293; pitching for, 293, 294; RA of, 293, 403n; stadium for, 221; swings/misses/fouled off, 297 (table); won-lost record/finish of, 292 (table)

Combs, Earle, xxxviii

Comerica Park, 186, 218, 225, 312; rating for, 389n

Comiskey Park, 222; cost of, 224; rating for, 389n

Competitiveness, xxvii, xxix, 221, 228, 230–233, 234, 312; free agents and, 308; media deals and, 186; salary cap and, 232; ticket revenue and, 180; trades and, 308

Complete games, 50, 86; demise of, 74–75, 75 (fig.), 75 (table), 81

Component pitching rates, 55–56, 57

Composite rankings, 366–367, 367 (table)

Comrosky, Adam, xix

Concessions: revenue from, 175, 181–182, 187, 189, 391–392n; ticket revenue and, 181, 189

Cone, David, 140, 316, 317

Contending teams, 309, 310

Contracts, free-agent, 194, 205, 210, 262

“Contract year” phenomenon, 406n

Contreras, Jose, 321, 322

Cook, Dennis, 307

Cook, Earnshaw, 128

Coombs, John W. (Jack), 111

Coors Field: batting order for, 41; and Busch Stadium compared, 302, 303; fielding at, 299–301; groundball percentage at, 298 (table); hitting at, 298, 300; home runs at, 259, 297, 300; influence of, 19, 248, 293–294, 304, 386n; offense at, 293, 296, 298, 301; OPS at, 130; park effect of, 295–301, 302; pitching at, 296–299; rate statistics at, 296; running at, 117; runs and, 129, 302–303; wins at, 303

Corrales, Pat, 139

Correlates of Playoff Success, 356–357

Correlation, 350, 352–353, 364

Cotts, Neal, 321, 322

Countries, introduction of, xxiv (table)

Cox, Bobby, 149, 152, 156, 204, 310

Craig, Matt, 335

Craig, Roger, 152

Cramer, Dick, 15

Crede, Joe, 322

Crisp, Coco, 138

Crosby, Bobby, 368

Cross, Monte, 99

Dalrymple, Clay, 2

Damon, Johnny, 117, 258

Dark, Alvin, 289

Data, 350; collecting, 352, 353, 372, 408n

Daubert, Jake, 285

Davenport, Clay, xxvii, 98, 384n, 409n; EqA and, 7; FR and, 97, 401n; on McCracken, 91–92

Davenport Translations (DTs), xxvii, 334, 338, 405n; and MLEs compared, 244

Davis, Chili, 172

Davis, Kiddo, 288

Davis, Mark, 59

Davis, Russ, 315

Dawson, Andre, 22

Deadball era, xl, 6, 76, 243

Decision making, 59–60, 70, 170; managers and, 141–142, 142 (table), 143 (table), 144, 150, 154, 162; owners and, 162; strategic, 130–131, 141–142, 150, 154

Deer, Rob, 17

Defense, 54, 95, 121, 146, 201, 266; championships and, 353, 358; DIPS and, 93; errors and, 97; evaluating, 96; hit prevention and, 363; hits allowed and, 90–91; pitching and, 90, 91, 362–363, 366; pressure on, 115, 133; problems with, 112, 366; sacrifices and, 132; WinEx and, 379n; wins and, 289

Defense-independent pitching statistics (DIPS), 54–55, 91–94

Defensive Efficiency, 300; Colorado park effect for, 300 (table)

Defensive indifference (DI), 121

Defensive performance, 56, 96; changes in, 98–99, 102–103; comparative, 101 (table); FR and, 97; replacement level and, 163

Defensive positions, 164, 255, 266; changing, 100, 101, 102

Defensive replacements, 150, 152, 153

Defensive spectrum, 100–101, 102, 384n

Delgado, Carlos, 3, 205, 284

deMause, Neil, 185

DePodesta, Paul, 129, 200, 284

Designated hitter (DH), xix, xxx, 50, 91, 227, 254, 270

Detroiters for Jobs & Development, 215

Detroit Tigers: attendance for, 312; competitiveness and, 180, 312; pitching of, 280; ticket revenue for, 180

De Vany, Arthur, 406n

DH. See Designated hitter

Dibble, Rob, 367

DiMaggio, Joe, 327

DIPS. See Defense-independent pitching statistics

DIPS ERA, 55, 92, 93; ranking of, 93–94 (table), 94 (table)

Dodger Stadium, 301; batting order for, 41; hitting at, 278; home games at, 386n; MLEs for, 243; park factor of, 130, 386n; run-scoring environment at, 129, 130

Dombrowski, Dave, 306, 324

Donnelly, Brendan, 319

Double A’s, 269–270

Double plays, 119, 378n, 386n, 399n; likelihood of, 128, 135

Draft, 234, 235, 239–241; college players and, 236, 237, 237 (table), 240; high school players and, 237, 240–241; player-compensation, 234; Rule 5, 312

Dreifort, Darren, 198

Dressen, Charlie, 372

Dressendorfer, Kirk, 235, 236

DTs. See Davenport Translations

Duchscherer, Justin, 151, 387n

Duffy, Hugh, xxvii

Duncan, Jeff, 89

Duncan, Mariano, 344, 346

Dunn, Adam, 106

Durocher, Leo, 145, 289, 290

Dye, Jermaine, 321, 322, 324

Dynasty Era, Power Spikes during, 329, 332

Earned run average (ERA), 50–51, 63, 86, 87, 93, 94, 167, 202, 277; distortions of, 88, 89–90; fluctuation in, 92; FRA and, 151; performance and, 52; predictor of, 53; RA and, 78, 403n; ranking of, 93 (table); rest and, 82, 83

Earned runs, 88, 277

Eckersley, Dennis, 14, 58, 59, 322

Eckstein, David, 3

Eddings, Doug, 365–366

Edmonds, Jim, 264

Einstein, Albert, 273

Eisenreich, Jim, 307

Elarton, Scott, 54

Encarnacion, Juan, 283

Environmental factors, xix–xx, 91, 248–249, 295

Epstein, Theo, 171

EqA. See Equivalent Average

EqBR. See Equivalent Base Runs

EqR. See Equivalent Runs

Equivalent Average (EqA), 8, 160, 161, 243–244, 335; AVG and, xxvi; compared, 160 (table); described, xv, xxvi–xxvii, 7; estimations of, xxxvi, xxxvi (fig.); as rate statistic, xxxvii, 377n; steroids and, 335 (table)

Equivalent Base Runs (EqBR), 118, 119, 120

Equivalent Runs (EqR), 257, 262, 263, 400n; old player’s skills and, 257 (fig.); PA and, 401n; playing time and, 401n; by post–World War II hitters, 263 (table)

ERA. See Earned run average

Errors, 52, 96, 380n, 384n; defense and, 97; scoring of, 88

Esasky, Nick, 203–204

Escobar, Kelvim, 84

ESPN, stadium ratings by, 177, 179, 349, 388–389n

Estes, Shawn, 240

Estrada, Johnny, 311

Evans, Dan, 283

Evans, Darrell, 89

Evans, Tom, 405n

Everett, Adam, xxix

Expansion Era, Power Spikes during, 329

Expected runs, 114, 114 (table), 117, 118, 134; for different base-out situations, 61, 61 (table)

Expected wins added (WX), 71, 72, 387n

Expected wins added over a replacement-level pitcher’s performance (WXRL), 71, 71 (table), 365, 411n; PSP and, 363

Experience, 364; promotions/skill and, 250

Extra bases, 117, 125, 135; average run value for, 118; caught stealing and, 119; in later innings, 126

Ezi, Travis, 283

Face, Elroy, 59

Fair Run Average (FRA), 62, 63, 151, 387n

Farm system, xxiv, xxxi, 308, 310, 314, 324

Farnsworth, Kyle, 311

Fatigue: injuries and, 77, 79, 86; pitcher, 77, 79, 81, 85, 86

Fehr, Don, 233

Fenway Park, 97, 222; adjusting for, 204, 300; MLEs for, 243; running at, 117

Fernandez, Alex, 306, 307, 323

Fernandez, Tony, 285

Fetters, Mike, 109, 110

Fielding, xxxvii–xxix, 14, 53, 54, 95, 97, 290; at altitude, 299–301; range, 89; runs allowed and, 88

Fielding Runs (FR), 97, 103, 384n, 401n

Fielding Runs Above Average (FRAA), xxix, xl, 98, 363, 365, 366–368, 408n, 410n, 411n

Fielding Runs Above Replacement (FRAR), xxix, 98

Fingers, Rollie, 59, 60, 73

Finley, Charlie, 369

Finley, Steve, 318

First basemen, 170, 385n; contracts for, 204–205

Fisk, Carlton, 14

Fitzsimmons, Freddie, 288, 289

Five-man rotations, 84–85, 166, 167

Fleisig, Glenn, 80, 383n

Fletcher, Darrin, 285

Florida Marlins: championships for, 292, 307; dismantling of, 307, 324; FRAA of, 408n; payroll of, 274, 275, 306–307, 320, 323–325

Floyd, Cliff, 156, 240, 307

Flyball tendencies, 56, 89, 97

Fohl, Lee, 139

Foli, Tim, 290

Following batters, performance by, 39 (table), 41 (table), 42, 42 (table), 116, 117, 120, 126

Forecasting, 271, 340, 400n

Forman, Sean, 172

Fort, Rod, 210, 217

Foulke, Keith, 64–65, 321, 368

Four-man rotations, 85–86, 167, 363; advantage of, 74, 80–81, 84; objection to, 83

Fox, Chad, 320

Foxx, Jimmie, 327

FR. See Fielding Runs

FRA. See Fair Run Average

FRAA. See Fielding Runs Above Average

Fraley, Gerry, 371

Framing ability, 108, 109–110

Franco, John, 59

Francoeur, Jeff, 311

Franks, Herman, 274

Free-agent market, 196, 197, 199, 201, 285; analysis of, 188–189, 194; cautiousness in, 202–3

Free agents, 208, 271, 284; cap on, 228; competitiveness and, 308; projected wins and, 188–189; signing, 203, 204, 308, 311; spending for, 188–189, 193, 195, 196, 262, 310; steroids and, 341; value of, 194

Freeman, Marvin, 293

Fullis, Chick, 288

Fullmer, Brad, 319

Furcal, Rafael, 98, 118, 310

Gagne, Eric, xxiv, 58, 59, 84, 277, 278, 327

Gagne, Greg, 99, 346

Game-calling abilities, 106, 107, 109, 111

Gant, Ron, 310

Garagiola, Joe, 111

Garcia, Carlos, 285

Garcia, Freddy, 321, 322

Garciaparra, Nomar, 147, 159, 198

Garland, Jon, 322

Garner, Phil, 290

Garvey, Steve, 172

Gehrig, Lou, xxii, 254, 280

Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), 388n

General managers (GMs), 162, 246, 309

Giambi, Jason, 205, 311, 326, 338, 367; steroids and, 327, 328, 341, 342, 404n

Giambi, Jeremy, 95, 338, 353, 405–406n

Gibbons, Jay, 25

Gibson, Bob, 104

Gibson, Josh, xxiv

Gibson, Kirk, 14

Gilbert, Tookie, 289

Giles, Brian, 308

Giles, Marcus, 310

Gilkey, Bernard, 318

Gilovich, Thomas, 96, 384n

Girardi, Joe, 316

Giuliani, Rudy, 226

Glaus, Troy, 319

Glavine, Tom, 48, 89, 311, 314, 346; career AVG allowed of, 344; Redmond and, 343, 345, 347, 349, 407n

Golden Age, Power Spikes during, 329

Gonzalez, Luis, 318, 319, 323

Gooden, Dwight, 140

Gordon, Tom, 62, 84, 85, 86

Gossage, Goose, 59, 60, 73

Grace, Mark, 31, 33, 318

Great American Ballpark, rating for, 389n

Green, Shawn, 240, 278, 285

Grieve, Ben, 368

Griffey, Ken, Jr., 161, 238

Grissom, Marquis, 314

Groundball percentage, 56, 57, 97, 298 (table)

Grounding into double plays (GIDP), 119, 133

Guardado, Eddie, 59

Gubicza, Mark, 85

Guerrero, Pedro, 379n

Guerrero, Vladimir, 24, 27, 270, 309

Guzman, Cristian, xv, 6, 7, 141, 146, 316

Gwosdz, Doug “Eyechart,” 106

Gwynn, Tony, 17, 27, 266, 346

Hairston, Jerry, Jr., 146

Halsey, Brad, 72

Hamilton, Bruce, 218, 223–224

Hamilton, Joey, 240

Hampton, Mike, 198, 297, 320

Handedness, 97, 266, 347, 348, 349, 351

Haney, Chris, 85, 86

Hargrave, Bubbles, 285

Harrah, Toby, 33

Hatteberg, Scott, 240

Hawkins, LaTroy, 84

Hearn, Jim, 289

Helling, Rick, 320

Henderson, Rickey, 118; extra bases and, 126; steals by, 112, 113

Henry, John, 15, 324

Hensley, Clay, 338

Hentgen, Pat, 284, 285

Heredia, Felix, 405n

Heredia, Gil, 367

Hermanson, Dustin, 321, 322

Hernandez, Livan, 79, 80, 323

Hernandez, Orlando “El Duque,” 315, 316

Hernandez, Willie, 59

Herrera, Javier, 334, 335

Hicks, Tom, 174, 196, 198, 229, 397n

High school players: college players and, 237–238; drafting, 237, 240; injuries for, 238–239; percent drafted in majors, 237 (table); risks with, 238–239; WARP of, 238, 239 (table)

Hitchcock, Sterling, 315

Hitters, 76–77; challenging, 366; clean up, 24, 39; contact, 17, 266, 268; handedness and, 351; projecting, 281; steroids and, 334; top minor league, 251–252 (table); winning and, 304

Hitting, 248, 249; at altitude, 298, 300; improving, 246, 290; pinch, 59, 150, 151; pitching and, 272, 281, 286, 288, 293, 409n, 410n; situational, 19, 33–34, 135, 137; wins and, 279, 286

Hodges, Gil, 23

Hoffman, Trevor, 58

Hogan, Shanty, 288

Hoke, Travis, 371

Hollandsworth, Todd, 147

Holliday, Matt, 118

Home-run rate, xix, 55, 56, 89; in different eras, 330, 330 (table)

Home runs, 91, 92, 96; at altitude, 300; doubles and, 261; increase in, 262, 270, 290, 330, 341, 406n; playing time and, 158; rest and, 82, 83; steroids and, 330; stolen bases and, 113

Honeymoon effect, 177, 178, 179, 218, 225, 225 (table)

Horner, Bob, 264

Hough, Charlie, 89–90

House, Tom, 77

Houston Astros: payroll of, 275; pitching of, 272–273, 286; postseason and, 191; VORP of, 286

Howard, Ryan, 205

Hsu, Arvin, 92

Hubbell, Carl, 288, 289

Huckabay, Gary, 373

Hudson, Tim, 240, 311, 368

Huggins, Miller, 155

Hughes, Gary, 373

Huizenga, Wayne, 306–308, 319, 323, 324, 325

Human perception, analysis and, 96, 97

Humidity, 298, 299

Hunter, Brian, 268

Hunter, Torii, 91, 312

IBB. See Intentional walks

Iguchi, Tadahito, 321

Incaviglia, Pete, 112, 113, 118, 126

Inherited runners, stranding, 61, 62

Injuries, 147, 202, 247, 290, 291, 401n; career-altering, 238–239; fatigue and, 77, 79, 86; pitcher, 167, 370; replacement level and, 163; risk of, 79, 81; workload and, 80 (fig.)

Integration, xi, xxiv–xxv, xxx, xxxi

Intentional walks (IBB), 39, 45, 128, 135, 153; run expectancy and, 46 (table); WinEx and, 142; power, 256, 258, 261–262, 266, 267, 268, 400n

Isolated Slugging (ISO), 6

Isringhausen, Jason, 72, 311, 368

Izturis, Cesar, 4, 278

Jackson, Reggie, xxxiv, 14–15, 28, 155, 211, 255

Jackson, Travis, 288

Jacobs, Eli, 217

Jacobs Field, 223, 224

James, Bill, 2, 36, 102, 317, 349, 354, 373; on career paths/offensive players, 262; on clutch rating, 30; Defensive Efficiency and, 97, 300; defensive spectrum and, 100, 384n; MLEs and, 243; on old player’s skills, 257; on peak, 201; Pythagorean Formula of, 24, 144, 318, 409; on runs scored/runs allowed, 279, 382n; on sacrifices, 132; Similarity Scores and, 172, 264, 266, 401n; speed score and, 399n

Jazayerli, Rany, 77, 237–239

Jenkins, Ferguson, 92

Jenks, Bobby, 321, 322

Jeter, Derek, 37, 140, 315, 316, 317, 353; clutch hitting by, 28; defense of, 95–96, 98, 103, 159; FR of, 97–98; offense of, 141; performance of, 98–99, 100, 102; Rodriguez and, 102–103

Joe Robbie Stadium, 323, 324

Johnson, Bruce, 223

Johnson, Charles, 306, 323

Johnson, Davey, 327

Johnson, Kelly, 311

Johnson, Randy, 48, 49, 79, 318–319

Johnson, Walter, 75

Jones, Andruw, 52, 85, 89, 310; RBI opportunities for, 3; running against, 117

Jones, Chipper, 45, 238, 239, 311, 314

Jones, Mike, 178

Juiced Era, 342; Power Spikes during, 329, 330, 331–332, 333

Justice, David, 310

Kagan, David, 299

Kahn, Peter, 218, 223–224

Kahn, Phyllis, 222

Kansas City Royals: local broadcast revenue for, 186; market size of, 179, 390n; salary depression and, 233

Karl, Scott, 109, 110

Karros, Eric, 349, 350, 407n

Kauffman Stadium: park factor of, 130, 386n; run-/scoring-expectation tables for, 130

Kelly, Roberto, 314

Kendall, Jason, 33, 308

Kennedy, Joe, 293

Kennedy, John, 106

Kent, Jeff, 39, 100, 264

Keri, Jonah, 95

Key, Jimmy, 140, 315

Keynes, John Maynard, 218

Kinder, Ellis, 58

Kiner, Ralph, 208, 257

King, Bill, 112

King, Mike, 369

Kingdome, 212, 220, 223; rating for, 389n

Kingman, Dave, 9; career totals of, 8 (table)

Kluszewski, Ted, 327

Knoblauch, Chuck, 315, 316

Koenecke, Len, 288

Kokos, Dick, 258

Konerko, Paul, 205, 358

Koppett, Leonard, 111, 274

Korzybski, Alfred, 247

Koskie, Corey, 312

Kotsay, Mark, 161, 307

Kruk, John, 112

Kuenn, Harvey, 150

Lackey, John, 319

Langerhans, Ryan, 311

Larkin, Barry, 207, 208, 214

Larsen, Don, 49

LaRussa, Tony, 75, 149, 156

Lasorda, Tommy, 149

Lawton, Matt, 33, 147

Leadoff hitters, 17, 38; RBI and, 2; runs scored and, 382n

League difficulty, xxviii (fig.), 256, 357, 401n

Lee, Carlos, 321, 322

Lee, Derrek, xiv, xv, 6, 7, 146

Leiter, Al, 306

LeMaster, Johnnie, 99

Leonard, Jeffrey, 33

Leverage, 34, 60–65, 71, 151, 380n, 381n; decisions based on, 70; described, 24–25, 72; measuring, 65, 68, 69; situational, 66–68 (table), 69, 73

Leveraged MLV Wins (LMLVW), 25

Levis, Jesse, 109, 110

Lewis, Michael, 55, 311, 370, 371

Leyritz, Jim, 27

Lichtman, Mitchel, 349, 384n

Lidge, Brad, 273

Lieberthal, Mike, 107, 108

Lima, Jose, xiv, 55

Lindsey, George, 128

Lindstrom, Freddie, 288

Linear Model, 181, 181 (fig.), 184, 187–188, 187 (fig.), 188, 188 (fig.), 196

Lineups, 135, 144, 150; managerial influence on, 141; OBP/SLG and, 38; scrutinizing of, 35–36, 37, 46, 47

Liriano, Francisco, 312

Lockman, Whitey, 290

Lofton, Kenny, 222, 258

Logistic regression analysis, 191 (fig.)

Long, Judith Grant, 224

Long, Terrence, 353, 368

Lopes, Davey, 33

Lopez, Felipe, 3

Loretta, Mark, 4

Loria, Jeffrey, 324

Los Angeles Dodgers: ERA of, 278; offense of, 278; OPS of, 278; pitching of, 280; run-prevention by, 277–278; VORP of, 278–279

Lowe, Derek, 84, 147

Lucas, Red, 286

Luck, 92, 246, 247, 248–249, 310, 322, 353, 354

Luxury suites, 211, 213, 222, 390–391n, 392n, 398n; revenue from, 175, 182–183, 187, 189

Luxury tax, 227, 228–229, 395n

Lyle, Sparky, 59

Maas, Kevin, 253–254, 255, 258, 264, 266, 271

MacDougal, Mike, 59

Macha, Ken, 151, 387n

Mack, Connie, 274, 307, 324–325

Maddux, Greg, 91, 236, 311, 314, 346

Madlock, Bill, 89, 290

Maglie, Sal, 289

Maier, Jeffrey, 140

Major League Baseball Central Fund, 175, 176

Major League Equivalencies (MLEs), 243, 244

Majors, transition to, 242–243, 246

Managers: batting performance and, 153–154; best/worst by strategic decisions, 142 (table), 143 (table); best/worst by wins/season, 143 (table), 144 (table); consistency and, 152; decision making by, 141–142, 144, 150, 154, 162; experience of, 149; influence of, 141, 144, 148, 152–154, 155–156; performance by, 142, 148; pinch hitters and, 151; role of, 139, 141, 144; statistical analysis of, 153–155; WinEx and, 141–142

Mancuso, Gus, 288

Maranville, Rabbit, xxix

Marberry, Firpo, 58

Marginal Lineup Value (MLV), 7, 23–24, 379n; Runs, 24, 25, 381n; Wins, 24, 25, 381n

Marginal Lineup Value Rate (MLVr), 7, 8, 146, 148, 149, 150, 382n

Marichal, Juan, 104

Maris, Roger, xxxiv

Market-Price Model, 196, 197

Market quality, 176, 178, 391n

Market size, 178, 179, 185, 186, 390n, 391n, 394n; media revenue and, 393n; postseason and, 232, 232 (table); taxing, 233–234; team success and, 397n

Marrero, Eli, 109, 110

Marshall, Eddie “Doc,” 288

Marshall, Mike, 59, 60

Martin, Billy, 35, 36, 47, 151–152

Martinez, Pedro, xxix, 55, 80, 309

Martinez, Tino, xxx, 315, 395n

Matchups, 351; pitching-heavy vs. offense-heavy, 360 (table)

Matheny, Mike, 104–105, 109, 110

Mathewson, Christy, 76, 77, 383n

Matsui, Hideki, 100

Mattingly, Don, 253, 254, 315

Mauer, Joe, 25, 238, 312

Mays, Carl, 286

Mays, Willie, 87, 100, 385n

Mazeroski, Bill, xxix

Mazzone, Leo, 49

McCann, Brian, 311

McCarthy, Joe, 155

McClung, Seth, 127

McCovey, Willie, 327

McCracken, Voros, 54, 55, 373, 382–383n; criticism of, 91–92; DIPS and, 91, 93; on pitching/hit prevention, 90

McDaniel, Lindy, 59

McDonald, Ben, 239

McDonald, Joe, 274

McGraw, John, 155, 288, 348, 402n

McGwire, Mark, 118, 257, 266, 332, 333

McKeon, Jack, 320

McLaughlin, Jim, 372

Meares, Pat, 99, 212

Mecir, Jim, 315

Media revenue, 175, 185–187, 192, 313; competitiveness and, 186; market size and, 393n; postseason and, 186; wins and, 189, 190

Mendoza, Mario, 7, 157–158, 159; replacement level and, 171; Ruth and, 172–173, 387n; WinEx and, 22

Mendoza Line, xiv, 22, 157–158, 171, 200

Merchandise: revenue from, 175, 184–185, 187, 190, 392n; ticket revenue and, 185, 190

Messersmith, Andy, 208

Metrics, 362, 363–368, 384n, 411n; average-based, 159–161; defensive, 363; offensive, 400n; replacement-level, 170; speed-related, 266

Metrodome, luxury suites/club seats at, 182

Miller, Stu, 59

Miller, Wade, 286

Miller Park, 225; rating for, 388n

Mills, E. G., 20

Mills, H. D., 20

Milton, Eric, 54, 210, 316

Minnesota Twins, 220; division titles for, 312; pitching payroll of, 274; stadium for, 218

Minor leaguers, 250; good/bad/maybe, 244–249; margins for, 245 (fig.); performance by, 242–243; steroid use by, 340

Minute Maid Park, 4; effects of, 375n; rating for, 388n

Mitchell, Kevin, 264

Mize, Johnny, 289–290

MLV. See Marginal Lineup Value

MLVr. See Marginal Lineup Value Rate

Moeller, Chad, 44

Mondesi, Raul, xxx

Moneyball (Lewis), 2, 55, 311, 327, 353, 370, 371, 373

Montreal Expos, 220; media revenue and, 392n; statistical principles and, 369

Moore, Jo-Jo, 288

Moores, John, 230

Mora, Melvin, 100–101

Moreno, Arte, 309

Moreno, Omar, 268

Morgan, Joe, 371

Morong, Cyril, 119

Mota, Danny, 316

Mota, Guillermo, 277

Moyer, Jamie, 92