- Page references followed by e indicate an illustrated exhibit.
- 1Q 2018Middle Market Indicator (National Center for The Middle Market), 1
- A
- ABL. See Asset-based lending
- Acquired fund fees and expenses (AFFE), 94–95, 221
- Actual risk calculations, simulated risk calculations (contrast), 65e
- Administrative agent, identification, 80
- Affirmative covenants, 80–81
- Agent, 80
- Alpha, 120, 155–156, 221
- fees, relationship, 137–138
- Alternative beta, 71
- Alternative lending, 168
- Alternative risk premium, 221
- Annual capital expenditures, limitations, 81
- Annualized firm-level risk (simulation input), 61
- Appropriate (benchmark characteristic), 146, 147
- ASC 820, 15, 221
- fair value protocols, quality, 126
- guidelines, 128
- oversight, 24
- prescription, 125
- segregated assets, 125
- Asset allocation, 154, 159–161, 163
- credit, relationship, 45–47
- Asset-based finance, substrategies, 192
- Asset-based lending (ABL), 191–194
- Asset classes, 42–45
- contributions, 219–220
- credit, separation, 41
- cumulative returns, 23e
- expected return/risk/correlations, 160e
- performance comparisons, 21
- return/risk, 22e
- Assets
- financing, infrastructure debt (usage), 195
- investment, 91
- maintenance, evidence, 81
- value, 125, 228
- Asset weighted, term (definition), 221
- B
- Bank financing, selection
- European sponsor survey, 179e–180e
- US sponsor survey, 177e–178e
- Bank loans, 44
- credit losses, 36e
- price comparison, 127e
- Basel III risk capital/liquidity requirements, 169
- Base rate, 4, 59, 79, 221
- Benchmark
- Beta, 68, 71, 120, 221
- Black-Cox model, 66–67, 68e, 79, 221
- Black, Fischer, 66
- Black-Scholes model, 53–54, 221
- Black-Scholes option pricing formula, 54
- Bloomberg Barclays 3–5 Year Treasury Index, 21, 24, 221
- Bloomberg Barclays Aggregate Bond Index, 4, 7, 26, 41
- Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond Index, 24, 32, 64–65, 221
- Board of directors meetings, observer rights, 81
- Borrower
- European borrowers, 176–178
- lending, limitations, 81
- perspective, 175
- sponsored borrower, 228
- Broadly syndicated loans (BSLs), 3, 72, 222
- Broker quote, 17, 222
- Business development companies (BDCs), 3, 9–10, 88, 221
- advantages/defining, 91–96
- dividend yield, 101
- fees/expenses, 123
- industry statistics, 95, 96e
- leverage, 83, 158
- management fees, comparison, 136
- market indices, 100–101
- nonlisted BDCs, 98e
- operational requirements, 92–93
- private BDCs, 96–98
- publicly traded BDCs, 3, 98–100, 99e
- public market, 100–101
- total return, 101–103
- track record, 123–124
- Businesses, maintenance (evidence), 81
- Buyout funds, J-curve comparison, 140e
- Buyout partnerships, 135
- C
- Calendar year interest income, realized credit gains/losses (correlation), 113
- Cambridge Associates US Private Equity Index, 23–24, 222
- Capital asset pricing model (CAPM), 53–54, 222
- Capital expenditures, limitations, 81
- Capital formation, 173
- Capital International Index, 222
- Capitalization weighting, 100
- Capital structures, evolution, 171
- Catastrophe (cat) bonds (144A securities), 208–211
- Center for Research in Security Prices (CRSP), 9, 223
- Charge-offs, 36
- Cliffwater BDC Index, 100
- market return, net operating return (comparison), 102e
- premium/discount, 102e
- price return, NAV return (comparison), 103e
- Treasury yields, comparison, 101e
- Cliffwater Direct Lending Index (CDLI), 9–12, 21, 222
- benchmark, 219
- cumulative net realized gains (losses), 113e
- current yield, 31e
- industry weightings, 149e
- net realized gains (losses), 112e
- performance, 11e
- private debt benchmark, 146–148
- total return, 114e
- yield, equation, 74
- yield-to-three-year-takeout, 31e, 32
- Collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), 132, 187–191, 222
- collateral manager, 191
- economics, 188–190
- leveraged loans, 187
- mechanics, 190–191
- notes/equity, model pricing, 189e
- structure, 188
- take-outs, 122
- Combined fee, 132–133
- Commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, 2–3, 9, 222
- Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBSs), 182
- Common factor risk, 222
- Common stock, 187
- Comparative credit loss rates, 35
- Conditions precedent, 79
- Consumer/marketplace lending, 197–199
- Consumer Price Index (CPI), 161
- Convexity, 222
- Corporate books/records (affirmative covenants), 80
- Corporate debt, value (equation), 54
- Corporate direct lending, 220
- expected return, calculation, 157e
- market, consistency, 156
- Corporate existence, evidence, 81
- Corporate governance, 95
- Corporate investments, limitations, 81
- Correlation, 63, 222
- inputs, 45–46
- senior correlation, 228
- Cost value, 15, 222
- Country risk, 173
- Covenants, 80–81, 222
- covenant lite, 68, 82, 223
- exclusion, examples, 68e, 69e
- inclusion, 66–69, 68e, 69e
- incurrence covenant, 224
- loan agreement, relationship, 79
- maintenance covenants, 225
- Cox, John, 66
- Credit
- asset allocation, relationship, 45–47
- asset class, 41
- credit-related assets, range, 48
- measures, excess returns, 44
- opportunity descriptions, 49e–50e
- optimal allocations, 45e
- private/public credit opportunities, 47–51, 47e
- return/risk, 43e
- theory, loans (relationship), 53
- Credit losses, 36e, 111
- Credit loss rates, comparison, 35
- Credit premium, 55, 223
- Credit rating agency, 223
- Credit risk, 110, 137, 220, 223
- Credit risk premium, 55
- firm risk, relationship, 57e
- risk-free rate, relationship, 59e
- time to maturity, relationship, 60e
- Credit Suisse Leveraged Loan Index, 137, 143
- Cumulative net realized gains (losses), direct lending asset managers/CDLI, 113e
- Cumulative realized losses, 17
- Current yield, 29–34, 223
- Cliffwater Direct Lending Index example, 31e
- D
- Debt costs
- covenants, inclusion/exclusion example, 68e
- Merton model, 56e
- Debtor in possession (DIP), 205–207
- Debt to EBITDA ratio, 81
- Default, 5, 15, 223
- Default events, 80
- Direct lenders
- abilities, confidence level, 151
- credit losses, 111–113
- fees, combination, 132–133
- selection, institutional approach, 115
- Direct lending
- asset managers, cumulative net realized gains (losses), 113e
- benchmarks, 143–144
- corporate direct lending, expected return (calculation), 157e
- drawdown, 27e
- expected returns/risks, 153
- investors, 4–7
- J-curve comparison, 140e
- J-curve migration, relationship, 139
- returns, components, 12e
- risk factors, 172–174
- Direct lending fees, 131–135
- charges, 131–132
- differences, factors, 134e
- distribution, 134e, 137e
- private equity, comparison, 135–136
- Direct lending managers, 114–115
- cataloguing, methodology, 220
- direct loan yield, 107–111
- fees, 132
- incentive fee, 132
- investment strategy, 116–117
- loan construction/monitoring, 119
- net realized gains (losses), 112e
- organization/origination, 116–118
- performance, comparison, 106e
- portfolio construction, 119–121
- selection, 105–107
- style/fees, 133–135
- total return, 114e
- underwriting, 118–119
- workout, 119
- Direct lending portfolio
- indicative direct lending portfolio, 84e
- indicative fee/leverage specifications, 84e
- leverage, inclusion (performance simulation), 86e
- levered direct lending portfolios, simulated return/risk, 86e
- optimization, 164e
- Direct lending private partnerships, portfolio characteristics, 120e
- Direct loan fair value, par (principal) value (contrast), 31e
- Direct loan income, loan asset value percentage, 13e
- Direct loan manager, 108e
- Direct loan portfolios, leverage, 83, 85–88
- Direct loans, 5, 13, 35, 168
- governance/structure, 79
- liquidity, degree, 37
- price comparison, 127e
- risk factors, manager exposure, 109e
- total return, loan asset value percentage, 19e
- yield spreads, 33e
- Direct loan yields, 13–14, 33e, 107–111
- Directly originated upper middle market (risk premium), 73
- Direct US middle market corporate loans, risk premiums, 72e
- Dispersion, 108–112, 223
- Diversification, 122, 148–151
- Dodd-Frank Act, 175, 223
- Down-and-in option, 67e, 223
- Due diligence, checklist, 115e
- Duration, 4–5, 39, 223
- Duration-adjusted Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond Index, 65–66
- E
- Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), 5–6, 61, 223
- borrower size, 133–134
- company, capital structure, 6e
- covenant, 81
- ranges/amounts, 1, 117
- role, 82
- Effective life, 5, 30, 37, 223
- Effectively connected income (ECI), 93, 223
- Efficient frontier, 163
- Equipment finance, 192
- Equity, 207, 223
- financing, 6
- return/risk, 43e
- Euribor, 168, 223
- Euro crisis (Eurozone crisis), 17, 224
- European borrowers, 176–178
- European direct lending market, 168–171, 170e
- European direct loans, 168, 171–172
- European leveraged buyout market, 172
- European middle market
- buyout firms, survey, 178
- direct lending, 167
- Exchange-traded funds (ETFs), 3, 187
- Expected combined fee, 132–133
- Expected correlations (asset classes), 160e
- Expected default frequency, 118
- Expected direct loan yield, equation, 73
- Expected returns
- asset-based lending, 193
- asset classes, 160e
- consumer/marketplace lending, 198
- direct lending, 153–161, 157e
- infrastructure debt, 195–196
- litigation financing, 215–216
- mezzanine debt, 185
- real estate debt, 183
- reinsurance, 210–211
- rescue financing, 206–207
- royalties, 200–201
- venture debt, 203–204
- Expected risks
- asset-based lending, 193
- asset classes, 160e
- consumer/marketplace lending, 198
- direct lending, 153, 161–162
- infrastructure debt, 195–196
- litigation financing, 215–216
- mezzanine debt, 185
- real estate debt, 183
- reinsurance, 210–211
- rescue financing, 206–207
- royalties, 200–201
- venture debt, 203–204
- F
- Fair value, 224
- definitions, 15, 125–127
- loan, 93
- quarterly changes, 15
- FAS 157, 17–18
- Fiduciary, 90, 224
- Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) asset value definition, 125
- Financial asset lending/rediscounting, 192
- Financial covenants, borrower control, 80–81
- Financing costs, 75
- determinants, 88–90
- loan subordination, relationship, 90e
- Financing leverage cost, factors, 88e
- Fin Tech, 197
- Firm-level risk (simulation input), 61
- Firm risk, credit risk premium (relationship), 57e
- Firm volatility, 58e
- First lien, 134
- loan, simulation results, 61e–64e
- risk, 65
- First-out loan, 224
- Fixed asset finance, 193
- Floating interest rates (simulation input), 60
- Floating rate, 4, 34, 224
- Floating rate credit indices, 25
- Forms 10-K/10-Q, SEC filings, 10
- Fund sponsors, 153
- G
- GICS sectors, examination, 149–150
- Global financial crisis (GFC) (2007–2009), 3, 16–17, 26–27, 219, 224
- consumer finance strategies, 198
- credit opportunities, 41
- Gordon Model (Gordon Growth Model), 155, 224
- Government-sponsored enterprises (GSEs), 2
- Great financial crisis (GFC), 107
- Gross assets, direct lending managers (fees), 132
- H
- Harvard State of Small Business Lending, 191–192
- Hedge funds, investment emergence, 163–164
- Hedging, speculation/permissions (prohibition), 81
- High-yield bank loans, 165
- High-yield bonds, 35, 165
- credit losses, 36e
- price comparison, 127e
- yields/yield spreads, 33e
- Hurricanes, losses, 210–211
- I
- Illiquidity premium, 24, 76, 224
- Impairment, 15, 17, 28, 30, 224
- Income return, 9–14, 35, 224
- Incurrence covenant, 81–82, 224
- Index reporting cycle, 10
- Industry loss warranties (ILWs), 209
- Infrastructure debt, 194–197
- Initial public offering (IPO), 225
- Insurance linked securities (ILS), 208–209
- Intellectual property (IP), cash flow stream generation, 199
- Inter-Agency Guidance on Leveraged Lending, 175
- Intercept, 76, 89, 225
- Interest income, yield (relationship), 73
- Interest rates
- optimal allocations, 45e
- return/risk, 43e
- Internal rate of return (IRR), 121, 140–141, 216
- Investable (benchmark characteristic), 146
- Investment Company Act of 1940, 10, 221
- Investment fees, 131, 137–138
- Investment policy statement (IPS), 153
- Investment strategies
- asset-based lending, 193–194
- consumer/marketplace lending, 199
- direct lending managers, 116–117
- infrastructure debt, 196–197
- litigation financing, 216–217
- mezzanine debt, 185–187
- real estate debt, 183–184
- reinsurance, 211–212
- rescue financing, 207
- royalties, 201–202
- venture debt, 204–205
- J
- J-curve, 139, 186, 225
- comparison, example, 140e
- migration, direct lending (relationship), 139
- phenomena, mitigation/elimination, 132
- Junk bonds, 7, 225
- L
- Last-out loan, 225
- Level 2 risky assets, 127
- Level 3 assets, 15, 17–18, 225
- Leverage, 225
- financing, 121–123
- net asset value, relationship, 91
- optimum, 87
- Leveraged buyout (LBO), 187, 225
- Leveraged loans, 34, 225
- CLOs, 187–188
- yields/yield spreads, 33e
- Levered direct lending, 164e, 165
- portfolios, simulated return/risk, 86e
- Levered portfolio, 159
- Liens, prohibitions, 81
- Liquidity, 37, 38e
- Litigation financing, 212–217
- Litigation funding, 214–215
- Loan
- agreement, covenants (relationship), 79
- commitment, 79
- construction/monitoring (direct lending managers), 119
- credit theory, relationship, 53
- loan-loss reserve, 11
- loan-to-value ratios, 56e
- risk, 60–63
- subordination, financing cost (relationship), 90e
- valuation, 125
- values, establishment, 15
- Loan assets
- Loan portfolio
- direct loan portfolios, leverage, 83
- risk, estimation, 63–64
- Loan-to-value ratio, 181–182, 225
- Log scale, 12, 25, 225
- London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR), 4, 168, 189, 225
- Lower middle market, 73, 225
- M
- Maintenance covenants, 81, 119, 225
- Management fees, BDCs (comparisons), 136
- Manager yield, equation, 74
- Marginal yield, 56, 225
- Marketplace lending. See Consumer/marketplace lending
- Market-related risk, 61
- Market return, net operating return (comparison), 102e
- Market size/structure
- asset-based lending, 191–192
- consumer/marketplace lending, 198
- infrastructure debt, 195
- litigation financing, 213–215
- mezzanine debt, 184
- real estate debt, 181–182
- reinsurance, 208–210
- rescue financing, 206
- royalties, 199–200
- venture debt, 202–203
- Markovitz, Harry, 21
- Master limited partnerships (MLPs), 29, 91, 226
- Maximum drawdown, 225
- risk, relationship, 25–28
- Mean-variance analysis, 226
- Measurable (benchmark characteristic), 146, 147
- Media/entertainment royalties, acquisition, 202
- Merrill Lynch 0–3Month Treasury Bill Index, 21, 24
- Merton, Robert C., 54
- Mezzanine, 184, 226
- Mezzanine debt, 184–187, 196
- expected return/risk, 185
- investment strategies, 185–187
- market size/structure, 184
- Mezzanine funds, providers, 185–186
- Mezzanine loans, 183, 187
- Middle market company, balance sheet, 5, 6f
- Middle market corporate loans (simulation input), 60
- Middle market direct lender, due diligence checklist, 115e
- Middle market direct loans, 34, 226
- Middle market loans
- credit loans, 36e
- risk premiums, discovery, 76–77
- Monte Carlo simulation, usage, 53
- Moody's, Analytics RiskCalc (usage), 76–77
- MSCI All Country World Index, 162
- N
- National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF), 23, 226
- National Council of Real Estate Investment Fiduciaries Property Index (NPI), 24, 144, 146, 226
- Negative covenants, 80–81
- Net annualized returns, 97, 226
- Net assets, direct lending fees distribution, 134e, 137e
- Net asset value (NAV), 92, 96, 102, 156, 226
- Cliffwater BDC index price premium/discount, 102e
- leverage, relationship, 91
- return, price return (comparison), 103e
- Net gains (losses), 14–16
- Net operating return, market return (comparison), 102e
- Net realized gains (losses), 16–17
- direct lending managers/CDLI, 112e
- loan asset percentage, 16e
- Net realized losses, build-up, 15
- Net unrealized gains (losses), 17–18, 19e
- Non-bank commercial lenders, 116
- Nonbank financing, selection
- European sponsor survey, 179e–180e
- US sponsor survey, 177e–178e
- Nonbank lending, rise, 2–4
- Non-investment-grade loans, 226
- Nonlisted BDCs, 98e
- Nonmarket idiosyncratic risk, 61
- Non-public debt/equity, assets (investment), 91
- Non-sponsor borrower (risk premium), 73
- O
- Obligation payments compliance (affirmative covenants), 80
- Oil crisis (2015–2016), 32, 226
- Optimal portfolio, 153
- Organization (direct lending managers), 116
- Original issue discount (OID), 14, 55, 111, 207, 226
- Origination, 13, 226
- direct lending managers, 117–118
- P
- Pari passu, 118, 226
- Par (principal) value, direct loan fair value (contrast), 31e
- Payment-in-kind (PIK), 14, 39, 75, 171, 227
- Peer to peer, term (usage), 197
- Platform companies, 198
- Policy asset mix, 153
- Portfolio
- construction, 119–121, 143
- diversification, constraints, 91
- information, 131
- Prepayment, 5, 14, 30, 227
- Price return, NAV return (comparison), 103e
- Pricing, practice, 18
- Principal, 227
- Private BDCs, 96–98, 98e, 125
- Private credit opportunities, 47–51, 47e
- Private debt
- benchmark, 146–148
- loan-to-value ratios, 56e
- opportunities, 181
- Private direct loans, 81–82
- Private equity, 155, 163, 173, 175, 227
- direct lending fees, comparisons, 135–136
- managers, fees, 131–132
- Private mezzanine funds, structure, 186
- Proxy statements, 93
- Public asset classes, risk values, 25–26
- Public BDCs, 97, 101
- Public credit opportunities, type, 47e
- Public equities, 163
- Publicly traded BDCs, 3, 98–100, 99e
- R
- Random walk, 26, 128, 227
- Real estate debt, 181–184
- expected return/risk, 183
- investment strategies, 183–184
- market size/structure, 181–182
- Real estate investment trust (REIT), 28, 48–50, 91, 143, 182, 227
- Realized gains, 11, 227
- Realized gains/losses, unrealized gains/losses (linkage), 14–15
- Recovery, 35, 67, 227
- Recovery given default, 118
- Rediscounting, 192
- Reference rate, 227
- Reflective (benchmark characteristic), 146, 147
- Registered investment company (RIC)
- operational requirements, 92
- qualification, 93
- Regulated investment company (RIC), 94–95, 227
- Reinsurance, 207–212, 227
- Reinvestment period, 190
- Remedies, usage, 80
- Representations, borrower usage, 80
- Rescue financing, 205–207
- Retrocessional contracts, 209
- Return, 23–25, 128
- distribution, 145
- increase, 85
- Return-to-risk ratio, reduction, 85–86
- Revolver, 5–6, 122, 169, 227
- Risk, 129
- calculations, contrast, 65e
- factors, 75, 172–174
- loan portfolio risk, estimation, 63–64
- loan risk, estimation, 60–63
- maximum drawdown, relationship, 25–28
- Risk-free rate, 59
- Risk-off, 26, 227
- Risk premium (premia), 71–72, 221, 227
- availability, 72e
- calculation, 76
- methodology, 76–77
- types, 73
- Royalties, 199–202
- R-squared, 68, 113, 227
- Rule 17d, 94, 227
- Russell 2000Index, 1, 58, 61, 150, 228
- industry weightings, 150e
- Russell 3000Index, 25–27, 143, 228
- S
- Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) compliance, 92
- Second lien, 62
- loan, simulation results, 61e–64e
- subordinated debt (risk premium), 73
- Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), 9
- Senior debt (senior secured debt), 56, 228
- Senior first lien, 228
- Senior first-lien loan, 6
- Senior second lien, 228
- Serial correlation, 26, 87, 128, 228
- Shadow rating, 118, 228
- Short volatility, 63, 228
- Sidecars (quota shares), 209
- Simulated risk calculations, actual risk calculations (contrast), 65e
- Simulation, 61e–64e, 69
- inputs (loan risk estimation), 60–61
- Skew, 63–65, 68, 228
- Small Business Administration (SBA) financing source, 122
- Small Business Investment Companies (SBICs), 92, 122–123
- Smoothing, 26, 128–129
- Special purpose vehicle (SPV), 122
- Specialty Finance, 197
- Specified (benchmark characteristic), 146, 147
- Sponsored borrower, 110, 134, 228
- Standard deviation, 26, 46, 55, 114, 228
- Standard & Poor's/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index, 4, 23, 51, 64, 76, 137, 143, 228
- State fund returns, distribution, 145e
- Stocks, optimal allocations, 45e
- Stretch senior, 56, 228
- Structure premium, 71
- Subordinated debt, 110, 228
- Syndicate, 228
- Systematic risk factors, identification, 220
- T
- Time to maturity, 60, 60e
- Total return, 18–20, 113–114
- Tracking error, 143, 228
- Tranches, 181
- Transparency requirements, 11
- Treasury bill rates, 59
- Treasury yields, Cliffwater BDC Index (comparison), 101e
- U
- Unambiguous (benchmark characteristic), 146
- Underwriting (direct lending managers), 118–119
- Unitranche loan, 228
- portfolio, covenant inclusion/exclusion (simulation results), 69e
- simulation results, 61e, 63e
- Unlevered direct lending, 164e, 165
- Unrealized gains, 11, 228
- Unrealized gains/losses, realized gains/losses (linkage), 15
- Unrealized losses, 107
- Unrelated business taxable income (UBTI), 93, 228
- Unsmoothing, 229
- Upper middle market, 229
- US Bankruptcy Code, 205
- US borrowers, 175–176
- US corporate debt market, 2e
- US corporate middle market, 149
- US direct lending market, European direct lending market (comparison), 170e
- US mezzanine fund return (IRR), vintage year rating, 185e
- US middle market corporate direct lending, 1
- US middle market corporate direct loans, 9, 11–13
- US middle market direct loans, 37, 38e, 72
- US middle market lending, risk premiums, 71
- US stocks, return distribution, 145
- V
- Valuation agent, 11, 17, 229
- Variance, 229
- Venture debt, 202–205
- Vintage
- Volatility, 57–58, 58e, 228
- Volatility Index (VIX), 57, 229
- W
- Warranties, usage, 80
- Warrants, 15–16, 80, 229
- Wells Fargo BDC (WFBDC) Index, 100
- Working capital finance, 192
- Workout (direct lending managers), 119
- Y
- Yields, 73, 229
- demands, 219
- dispersion, 108–109
- examples, 33e
- interest income, direct loan manager, 108e
- marginal yield, 56, 225
- representation, 56
- Yield spreads, examples, 33e
- Yield to maturity (yield-to-maturity), 29, 229
- Yield-to-three-year takeout, 30–34, 31e, 229